Florida's 20th congressional district remains a deep Democratic stronghold with a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+20 to D+22 following recent redistricting. The April 2026 resignation of former Democratic incumbent Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick created an open primary on August 18 featuring Debbie Wasserman Schultz and several challengers, but the general election on November 3 favors the Democratic nominee by a wide margin given limited Republican primary activity and the district's voter composition in southeast Florida. Trader consensus reflects this structural advantage along with historical patterns for safe seats, though a late scandal, unusually low Democratic turnout, or unexpected independent surge could narrow the outcome in the final weeks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$29,031 交易量
$29,031 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
95%
共和党
3%
$29,031 交易量
$29,031 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$19,019 交易量
95%
共和党
$10,012 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 20th congressional district remains a deep Democratic stronghold with a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+20 to D+22 following recent redistricting. The April 2026 resignation of former Democratic incumbent Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick created an open primary on August 18 featuring Debbie Wasserman Schultz and several challengers, but the general election on November 3 favors the Democratic nominee by a wide margin given limited Republican primary activity and the district's voter composition in southeast Florida. Trader consensus reflects this structural advantage along with historical patterns for safe seats, though a late scandal, unusually low Democratic turnout, or unexpected independent surge could narrow the outcome in the final weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
交易量
$29,031结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 20th congressional district remains a deep Democratic stronghold with a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+20 to D+22 following recent redistricting. The April 2026 resignation of former Democratic incumbent Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick created an open primary on August 18 featuring Debbie Wasserman Schultz and several challengers, but the general election on November 3 favors the Democratic nominee by a wide margin given limited Republican primary activity and the district's voter composition in southeast Florida. Trader consensus reflects this structural advantage along with historical patterns for safe seats, though a late scandal, unusually low Democratic turnout, or unexpected independent surge could narrow the outcome in the final weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$29,031结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 20th congressional district remains a deep Democratic stronghold with a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+20 to D+22 following recent redistricting. The April 2026 resignation of former Democratic incumbent Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick created an open primary on August 18 featuring Debbie Wasserman Schultz and several challengers, but the general election on November 3 favors the Democratic nominee by a wide margin given limited Republican primary activity and the district's voter composition in southeast Florida. Trader consensus reflects this structural advantage along with historical patterns for safe seats, though a late scandal, unusually low Democratic turnout, or unexpected independent surge could narrow the outcome in the final weeks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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