Florida's 19th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+14, reflecting consistent Republican advantages in recent presidential and House voting that underpin the 93.5% Republican implied probability. Incumbent Byron Donalds is retiring to seek the governorship, creating an open seat, yet all major race ratings classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican. Multiple Republican primary candidates have raised substantial funds ahead of the August 18 primary, while Democratic contenders remain limited. Late developments such as a Republican primary scandal, unusually strong Democratic turnout, or successful legal challenges to the state's congressional map could narrow the margin, though these remain low-probability shifts given the district's structural profile.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$17,379 交易量
$17,379 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
94%
民主党
6%
$17,379 交易量
$17,379 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$5,769 交易量
94%
民主党
$11,610 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 19th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+14, reflecting consistent Republican advantages in recent presidential and House voting that underpin the 93.5% Republican implied probability. Incumbent Byron Donalds is retiring to seek the governorship, creating an open seat, yet all major race ratings classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican. Multiple Republican primary candidates have raised substantial funds ahead of the August 18 primary, while Democratic contenders remain limited. Late developments such as a Republican primary scandal, unusually strong Democratic turnout, or successful legal challenges to the state's congressional map could narrow the margin, though these remain low-probability shifts given the district's structural profile.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
交易量
$17,379结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 19th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+14, reflecting consistent Republican advantages in recent presidential and House voting that underpin the 93.5% Republican implied probability. Incumbent Byron Donalds is retiring to seek the governorship, creating an open seat, yet all major race ratings classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican. Multiple Republican primary candidates have raised substantial funds ahead of the August 18 primary, while Democratic contenders remain limited. Late developments such as a Republican primary scandal, unusually strong Democratic turnout, or successful legal challenges to the state's congressional map could narrow the margin, though these remain low-probability shifts given the district's structural profile.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$17,379结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 19th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+14, reflecting consistent Republican advantages in recent presidential and House voting that underpin the 93.5% Republican implied probability. Incumbent Byron Donalds is retiring to seek the governorship, creating an open seat, yet all major race ratings classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican. Multiple Republican primary candidates have raised substantial funds ahead of the August 18 primary, while Democratic contenders remain limited. Late developments such as a Republican primary scandal, unusually strong Democratic turnout, or successful legal challenges to the state's congressional map could narrow the margin, though these remain low-probability shifts given the district's structural profile.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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