Florida's 19th congressional district remains a deep-red stronghold, reflected in the 89.5% implied probability for a Republican win. The seat opened after incumbent Byron Donalds vacated it to pursue the gubernatorial nomination, triggering a crowded August 18 Republican primary featuring well-funded candidates such as Jim Schwartzel. Late-April redistricting passed by the state legislature further entrenched GOP advantages through adjusted boundaries favoring Lee and Collier counties. Democrats face a steep climb, with limited fundraising and no standout nominee ahead of their concurrent primary. Historical voting margins and a substantial Republican registration edge continue to anchor trader sentiment for the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
90%
民主党
11%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
$2,619 交易量
90%
民主党
$179 交易量
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 19th congressional district remains a deep-red stronghold, reflected in the 89.5% implied probability for a Republican win. The seat opened after incumbent Byron Donalds vacated it to pursue the gubernatorial nomination, triggering a crowded August 18 Republican primary featuring well-funded candidates such as Jim Schwartzel. Late-April redistricting passed by the state legislature further entrenched GOP advantages through adjusted boundaries favoring Lee and Collier counties. Democrats face a steep climb, with limited fundraising and no standout nominee ahead of their concurrent primary. Historical voting margins and a substantial Republican registration edge continue to anchor trader sentiment for the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
交易量
$2,797结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 19th congressional district remains a deep-red stronghold, reflected in the 89.5% implied probability for a Republican win. The seat opened after incumbent Byron Donalds vacated it to pursue the gubernatorial nomination, triggering a crowded August 18 Republican primary featuring well-funded candidates such as Jim Schwartzel. Late-April redistricting passed by the state legislature further entrenched GOP advantages through adjusted boundaries favoring Lee and Collier counties. Democrats face a steep climb, with limited fundraising and no standout nominee ahead of their concurrent primary. Historical voting margins and a substantial Republican registration edge continue to anchor trader sentiment for the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$2,797结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 19th congressional district remains a deep-red stronghold, reflected in the 89.5% implied probability for a Republican win. The seat opened after incumbent Byron Donalds vacated it to pursue the gubernatorial nomination, triggering a crowded August 18 Republican primary featuring well-funded candidates such as Jim Schwartzel. Late-April redistricting passed by the state legislature further entrenched GOP advantages through adjusted boundaries favoring Lee and Collier counties. Democrats face a steep climb, with limited fundraising and no standout nominee ahead of their concurrent primary. Historical voting margins and a substantial Republican registration edge continue to anchor trader sentiment for the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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