Incumbent Rep. Jonathan Jackson (D) secured the Democratic nomination unopposed in the March 17, 2026, Illinois primary for the solidly Democratic IL-01 district, spanning Chicago's South Side and extending southwest, reinforcing trader consensus at 93% implied probability for a Democratic House election winner on November 3. This commanding position stems from the district's deep-blue history—Jackson won re-election in 2024 by a wide margin amid consistent Democratic dominance—and the Republican nominee, business consultant Christian Maxwell, who emerged from a contested GOP primary lacking the resources or name recognition to mount a credible challenge in this low-turnout, heavily partisan seat. While late-breaking scandals, Jackson's health issues, or an overwhelming national Republican midterm wave could shift odds, structural barriers like incumbency advantage and favorable electoral math keep upside limited for Republicans.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$40,238 交易量
$40,238 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
93%
共和党
5%
$40,238 交易量
$40,238 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$17,649 交易量
93%
共和党
$22,588 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Jonathan Jackson (D) secured the Democratic nomination unopposed in the March 17, 2026, Illinois primary for the solidly Democratic IL-01 district, spanning Chicago's South Side and extending southwest, reinforcing trader consensus at 93% implied probability for a Democratic House election winner on November 3. This commanding position stems from the district's deep-blue history—Jackson won re-election in 2024 by a wide margin amid consistent Democratic dominance—and the Republican nominee, business consultant Christian Maxwell, who emerged from a contested GOP primary lacking the resources or name recognition to mount a credible challenge in this low-turnout, heavily partisan seat. While late-breaking scandals, Jackson's health issues, or an overwhelming national Republican midterm wave could shift odds, structural barriers like incumbency advantage and favorable electoral math keep upside limited for Republicans.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
交易量
$40,238结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Jonathan Jackson (D) secured the Democratic nomination unopposed in the March 17, 2026, Illinois primary for the solidly Democratic IL-01 district, spanning Chicago's South Side and extending southwest, reinforcing trader consensus at 93% implied probability for a Democratic House election winner on November 3. This commanding position stems from the district's deep-blue history—Jackson won re-election in 2024 by a wide margin amid consistent Democratic dominance—and the Republican nominee, business consultant Christian Maxwell, who emerged from a contested GOP primary lacking the resources or name recognition to mount a credible challenge in this low-turnout, heavily partisan seat. While late-breaking scandals, Jackson's health issues, or an overwhelming national Republican midterm wave could shift odds, structural barriers like incumbency advantage and favorable electoral math keep upside limited for Republicans.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$40,238结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Jonathan Jackson (D) secured the Democratic nomination unopposed in the March 17, 2026, Illinois primary for the solidly Democratic IL-01 district, spanning Chicago's South Side and extending southwest, reinforcing trader consensus at 93% implied probability for a Democratic House election winner on November 3. This commanding position stems from the district's deep-blue history—Jackson won re-election in 2024 by a wide margin amid consistent Democratic dominance—and the Republican nominee, business consultant Christian Maxwell, who emerged from a contested GOP primary lacking the resources or name recognition to mount a credible challenge in this low-turnout, heavily partisan seat. While late-breaking scandals, Jackson's health issues, or an overwhelming national Republican midterm wave could shift odds, structural barriers like incumbency advantage and favorable electoral math keep upside limited for Republicans.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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