Incumbent Republican Mike Bost's unopposed victory in the March 17, 2026, primary solidified his commanding position in the R+22 Illinois 12th District, where Trump won 71% in 2024, driving trader consensus to 93.5% for the Republican Party ahead of the November 3 general election. Bost's fundraising dominance—$1.1 million raised and $706,000 cash on hand as of March 31—vastly outpaces Democratic nominee Julie Fortier's $41,000 raised and $27,000 cash, reflecting the district's Solid Republican rating from Cook Political Report and others. With no polling shifts or scandals in recent weeks, markets price in low upset risk, though a major Republican scandal, Democratic national wave, or Fortier surge in fundraising could narrow odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$17,926 交易量
$17,926 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
94%
民主党
5%
$17,926 交易量
$17,926 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$7,790 交易量
94%
民主党
$10,136 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Bost's unopposed victory in the March 17, 2026, primary solidified his commanding position in the R+22 Illinois 12th District, where Trump won 71% in 2024, driving trader consensus to 93.5% for the Republican Party ahead of the November 3 general election. Bost's fundraising dominance—$1.1 million raised and $706,000 cash on hand as of March 31—vastly outpaces Democratic nominee Julie Fortier's $41,000 raised and $27,000 cash, reflecting the district's Solid Republican rating from Cook Political Report and others. With no polling shifts or scandals in recent weeks, markets price in low upset risk, though a major Republican scandal, Democratic national wave, or Fortier surge in fundraising could narrow odds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$17,926结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Bost's unopposed victory in the March 17, 2026, primary solidified his commanding position in the R+22 Illinois 12th District, where Trump won 71% in 2024, driving trader consensus to 93.5% for the Republican Party ahead of the November 3 general election. Bost's fundraising dominance—$1.1 million raised and $706,000 cash on hand as of March 31—vastly outpaces Democratic nominee Julie Fortier's $41,000 raised and $27,000 cash, reflecting the district's Solid Republican rating from Cook Political Report and others. With no polling shifts or scandals in recent weeks, markets price in low upset risk, though a major Republican scandal, Democratic national wave, or Fortier surge in fundraising could narrow odds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$17,926结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Mike Bost's unopposed victory in the March 17, 2026, primary solidified his commanding position in the R+22 Illinois 12th District, where Trump won 71% in 2024, driving trader consensus to 93.5% for the Republican Party ahead of the November 3 general election. Bost's fundraising dominance—$1.1 million raised and $706,000 cash on hand as of March 31—vastly outpaces Democratic nominee Julie Fortier's $41,000 raised and $27,000 cash, reflecting the district's Solid Republican rating from Cook Political Report and others. With no polling shifts or scandals in recent weeks, markets price in low upset risk, though a major Republican scandal, Democratic national wave, or Fortier surge in fundraising could narrow odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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