The IL-02 race centers on an open Democratic seat in a district spanning Chicago’s South Side and southern suburbs, where party registration and voting history have produced consistent double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles. Donna Miller secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with 40 percent of the vote, ahead of Jesse Jackson Jr. and other contenders, and now faces Republican Mike Noack in the November general election. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district’s partisan composition and limited Republican infrastructure. Trader consensus at 96.7 percent for Democrats aligns with these structural factors and the absence of major developments since the primaries. A late scandal involving Miller, an unusually strong Republican turnout wave, or unforeseen legal or health developments could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain low-probability based on current evidence.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$33,686 交易量
$33,686 交易量
2026-11-02
民主党
97%
共和党
1%
$33,686 交易量
$33,686 交易量
2026-11-02
民主党
$14,437 交易量
97%
共和党
$19,249 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The IL-02 race centers on an open Democratic seat in a district spanning Chicago’s South Side and southern suburbs, where party registration and voting history have produced consistent double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles. Donna Miller secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with 40 percent of the vote, ahead of Jesse Jackson Jr. and other contenders, and now faces Republican Mike Noack in the November general election. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district’s partisan composition and limited Republican infrastructure. Trader consensus at 96.7 percent for Democrats aligns with these structural factors and the absence of major developments since the primaries. A late scandal involving Miller, an unusually strong Republican turnout wave, or unforeseen legal or health developments could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain low-probability based on current evidence.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
交易量
$33,686结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The IL-02 race centers on an open Democratic seat in a district spanning Chicago’s South Side and southern suburbs, where party registration and voting history have produced consistent double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles. Donna Miller secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with 40 percent of the vote, ahead of Jesse Jackson Jr. and other contenders, and now faces Republican Mike Noack in the November general election. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district’s partisan composition and limited Republican infrastructure. Trader consensus at 96.7 percent for Democrats aligns with these structural factors and the absence of major developments since the primaries. A late scandal involving Miller, an unusually strong Republican turnout wave, or unforeseen legal or health developments could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain low-probability based on current evidence.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$33,686结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETThe IL-02 race centers on an open Democratic seat in a district spanning Chicago’s South Side and southern suburbs, where party registration and voting history have produced consistent double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles. Donna Miller secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with 40 percent of the vote, ahead of Jesse Jackson Jr. and other contenders, and now faces Republican Mike Noack in the November general election. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district’s partisan composition and limited Republican infrastructure. Trader consensus at 96.7 percent for Democrats aligns with these structural factors and the absence of major developments since the primaries. A late scandal involving Miller, an unusually strong Republican turnout wave, or unforeseen legal or health developments could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain low-probability based on current evidence.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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