Illinois's 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt driven by its urban and suburban voter base in the Chicago area, consistent with historical results in prior cycles. The district's demographics, including high concentrations of Democratic-leaning constituencies, have produced large margins for Democratic candidates in recent House elections. With primaries approaching and no major Republican challengers emerging as competitive threats, trader consensus reflects limited prospects for an upset. Potential shifts could arise from late candidate withdrawals, significant scandals, or unexpected turnout changes, though such developments remain rare in this safely held seat.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$30,930 交易量
$30,930 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
95%
共和党
6%
$30,930 交易量
$30,930 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$12,425 交易量
95%
共和党
$18,505 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Illinois's 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt driven by its urban and suburban voter base in the Chicago area, consistent with historical results in prior cycles. The district's demographics, including high concentrations of Democratic-leaning constituencies, have produced large margins for Democratic candidates in recent House elections. With primaries approaching and no major Republican challengers emerging as competitive threats, trader consensus reflects limited prospects for an upset. Potential shifts could arise from late candidate withdrawals, significant scandals, or unexpected turnout changes, though such developments remain rare in this safely held seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
交易量
$30,930结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Illinois's 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt driven by its urban and suburban voter base in the Chicago area, consistent with historical results in prior cycles. The district's demographics, including high concentrations of Democratic-leaning constituencies, have produced large margins for Democratic candidates in recent House elections. With primaries approaching and no major Republican challengers emerging as competitive threats, trader consensus reflects limited prospects for an upset. Potential shifts could arise from late candidate withdrawals, significant scandals, or unexpected turnout changes, though such developments remain rare in this safely held seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$30,930结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Illinois's 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt driven by its urban and suburban voter base in the Chicago area, consistent with historical results in prior cycles. The district's demographics, including high concentrations of Democratic-leaning constituencies, have produced large margins for Democratic candidates in recent House elections. With primaries approaching and no major Republican challengers emerging as competitive threats, trader consensus reflects limited prospects for an upset. Potential shifts could arise from late candidate withdrawals, significant scandals, or unexpected turnout changes, though such developments remain rare in this safely held seat.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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