Louisiana’s 1st congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat anchored by suburban New Orleans voters and redrawn maps that further favor the party. Incumbent Steve Scalise, the House Majority Leader seeking re-election, holds commanding name recognition, institutional resources, and a Trump endorsement, while Democratic challenger Lauren Jewett and Republican primary opponent Randall Arrington face structural headwinds in a district Scalise carried with roughly two-thirds of the vote in 2024. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, with limited polling or fundraising data yet available to shift the outlook ahead of the April 2026 primary. A late personal health development, ethics controversy, or unusually strong Democratic national environment could still narrow the gap before the November 2026 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$49,108 交易量
$49,108 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
94%
民主党
6%
$49,108 交易量
$49,108 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$21,178 交易量
94%
民主党
$27,930 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Louisiana’s 1st congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat anchored by suburban New Orleans voters and redrawn maps that further favor the party. Incumbent Steve Scalise, the House Majority Leader seeking re-election, holds commanding name recognition, institutional resources, and a Trump endorsement, while Democratic challenger Lauren Jewett and Republican primary opponent Randall Arrington face structural headwinds in a district Scalise carried with roughly two-thirds of the vote in 2024. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, with limited polling or fundraising data yet available to shift the outlook ahead of the April 2026 primary. A late personal health development, ethics controversy, or unusually strong Democratic national environment could still narrow the gap before the November 2026 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$49,108结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Louisiana’s 1st congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat anchored by suburban New Orleans voters and redrawn maps that further favor the party. Incumbent Steve Scalise, the House Majority Leader seeking re-election, holds commanding name recognition, institutional resources, and a Trump endorsement, while Democratic challenger Lauren Jewett and Republican primary opponent Randall Arrington face structural headwinds in a district Scalise carried with roughly two-thirds of the vote in 2024. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, with limited polling or fundraising data yet available to shift the outlook ahead of the April 2026 primary. A late personal health development, ethics controversy, or unusually strong Democratic national environment could still narrow the gap before the November 2026 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$49,108结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Louisiana’s 1st congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat anchored by suburban New Orleans voters and redrawn maps that further favor the party. Incumbent Steve Scalise, the House Majority Leader seeking re-election, holds commanding name recognition, institutional resources, and a Trump endorsement, while Democratic challenger Lauren Jewett and Republican primary opponent Randall Arrington face structural headwinds in a district Scalise carried with roughly two-thirds of the vote in 2024. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, with limited polling or fundraising data yet available to shift the outlook ahead of the April 2026 primary. A late personal health development, ethics controversy, or unusually strong Democratic national environment could still narrow the gap before the November 2026 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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