Tsai Yi-yu holds an 86% implied probability as the Chiayi County Magistrate winner, reflecting trader consensus on his status as the Democratic Progressive Party nominee following a decisive January 2026 primary victory. This outcome stems from his established legislative record representing the county and the party's organizational strength ahead of the November 28, 2026, local elections. Wu Pin-jui trails at roughly 10%, consistent with opposition party positioning in the race, while Tsai Sung-yi registers negligible support. With the contest still months away, factors such as candidate registration deadlines, potential cross-party coordination, and voter turnout patterns in Chiayi could influence final margins, though no major shifts have emerged in recent weeks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于蔡易余 86%
吴炳瑞 10%
蔡松谚 <1%
最新
最新
2027-06-30
蔡易余
86%
吴炳瑞
10%
蔡松谚
<1%
蔡易余 86%
吴炳瑞 10%
蔡松谚 <1%
最新
最新
2027-06-30
蔡易余
$1,660 交易量
86%
吴炳瑞
$2,580 交易量
10%
蔡松谚
$591 交易量
<1%
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Chiayi County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Tsai Yi-yu holds an 86% implied probability as the Chiayi County Magistrate winner, reflecting trader consensus on his status as the Democratic Progressive Party nominee following a decisive January 2026 primary victory. This outcome stems from his established legislative record representing the county and the party's organizational strength ahead of the November 28, 2026, local elections. Wu Pin-jui trails at roughly 10%, consistent with opposition party positioning in the race, while Tsai Sung-yi registers negligible support. With the contest still months away, factors such as candidate registration deadlines, potential cross-party coordination, and voter turnout patterns in Chiayi could influence final margins, though no major shifts have emerged in recent weeks.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Chiayi County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Chiayi County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
市场开放时间： Aug 14, 2026, 8:59 AM ET
交易量
$4,831结束日期
2026-11-28市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 8:59 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Chiayi County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Tsai Yi-yu holds an 86% implied probability as the Chiayi County Magistrate winner, reflecting trader consensus on his status as the Democratic Progressive Party nominee following a decisive January 2026 primary victory. This outcome stems from his established legislative record representing the county and the party's organizational strength ahead of the November 28, 2026, local elections. Wu Pin-jui trails at roughly 10%, consistent with opposition party positioning in the race, while Tsai Sung-yi registers negligible support. With the contest still months away, factors such as candidate registration deadlines, potential cross-party coordination, and voter turnout patterns in Chiayi could influence final margins, though no major shifts have emerged in recent weeks.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Chiayi County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Chiayi County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
交易量
$4,831结束日期
2026-11-28市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 8:59 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Tsai Yi-yu holds an 86% implied probability as the Chiayi County Magistrate winner, reflecting trader consensus on his status as the Democratic Progressive Party nominee following a decisive January 2026 primary victory. This outcome stems from his established legislative record representing the county and the party's organizational strength ahead of the November 28, 2026, local elections. Wu Pin-jui trails at roughly 10%, consistent with opposition party positioning in the race, while Tsai Sung-yi registers negligible support. With the contest still months away, factors such as candidate registration deadlines, potential cross-party coordination, and voter turnout patterns in Chiayi could influence final margins, though no major shifts have emerged in recent weeks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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