Chou Chun-mi holds a dominant position in the Pingtung County magistrate race as the Democratic Progressive Party incumbent seeking re-election on November 28, 2026. Traders assign her an 87% implied probability largely because she defeated the same Kuomintang challenger, Su Ching-chuan, by a narrow margin in 2022 and secured her party's nomination early. Su, positioned at 13%, benefits from name recognition in the rematch but faces structural headwinds as the opposition candidate in a county where the DPP has maintained control. The large field of additional listed candidates reflects market structure rather than viable alternatives, with no recent polling shifts, scandals, or policy developments reported that would materially alter the current consensus. The November timeline leaves room for late campaign developments typical in Taiwan's local contests.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2027-06-30
周春米
87%
苏清泉
13%
最新
最新
2027-06-30
周春米
$1,507 交易量
87%
苏清泉
$1,598 交易量
13%
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Pingtung County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chou Chun-mi holds a dominant position in the Pingtung County magistrate race as the Democratic Progressive Party incumbent seeking re-election on November 28, 2026. Traders assign her an 87% implied probability largely because she defeated the same Kuomintang challenger, Su Ching-chuan, by a narrow margin in 2022 and secured her party's nomination early. Su, positioned at 13%, benefits from name recognition in the rematch but faces structural headwinds as the opposition candidate in a county where the DPP has maintained control. The large field of additional listed candidates reflects market structure rather than viable alternatives, with no recent polling shifts, scandals, or policy developments reported that would materially alter the current consensus. The November timeline leaves room for late campaign developments typical in Taiwan's local contests.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Pingtung County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Pingtung County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
市场开放时间： Aug 14, 2026, 9:01 AM ET
交易量
$3,105结束日期
2026-11-28市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 9:01 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Pingtung County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chou Chun-mi holds a dominant position in the Pingtung County magistrate race as the Democratic Progressive Party incumbent seeking re-election on November 28, 2026. Traders assign her an 87% implied probability largely because she defeated the same Kuomintang challenger, Su Ching-chuan, by a narrow margin in 2022 and secured her party's nomination early. Su, positioned at 13%, benefits from name recognition in the rematch but faces structural headwinds as the opposition candidate in a county where the DPP has maintained control. The large field of additional listed candidates reflects market structure rather than viable alternatives, with no recent polling shifts, scandals, or policy developments reported that would materially alter the current consensus. The November timeline leaves room for late campaign developments typical in Taiwan's local contests.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Pingtung County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Pingtung County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
交易量
$3,105结束日期
2026-11-28市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 9:01 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Chou Chun-mi holds a dominant position in the Pingtung County magistrate race as the Democratic Progressive Party incumbent seeking re-election on November 28, 2026. Traders assign her an 87% implied probability largely because she defeated the same Kuomintang challenger, Su Ching-chuan, by a narrow margin in 2022 and secured her party's nomination early. Su, positioned at 13%, benefits from name recognition in the rematch but faces structural headwinds as the opposition candidate in a county where the DPP has maintained control. The large field of additional listed candidates reflects market structure rather than viable alternatives, with no recent polling shifts, scandals, or policy developments reported that would materially alter the current consensus. The November timeline leaves room for late campaign developments typical in Taiwan's local contests.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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