Yu Shu-chen holds the leading position in the Hualien County Magistrate race at 78% implied probability as the Kuomintang nominee selected through an internal party poll in March 2026. Her nomination followed the term limit of the prior KMT magistrate and reflects party efforts to consolidate support behind a candidate with two decades of local township experience. Other declared contenders, including independent Wei Chia-hsien and figures such as Chang Chun, remain at single-digit or lower levels, consistent with limited reported polling momentum or organizational backing at this stage. The November 28, 2026 local election timeline and KMT structural advantages in the county continue to shape trader assessments of the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于俞淑珍 78%
魏嘉贤 18%
常钧 5%
罗佩钦 <1%
最新
最新
2027-06-30
俞淑珍
78%
魏嘉贤
18%
常钧
5%
罗佩钦
1%
叶耀辉
1%
俞淑珍 78%
魏嘉贤 18%
常钧 5%
罗佩钦 <1%
最新
最新
2027-06-30
俞淑珍
$2,486 交易量
78%
魏嘉贤
$1,201 交易量
18%
常钧
$780 交易量
5%
罗佩钦
$430 交易量
1%
叶耀辉
$664 交易量
1%
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hualien County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Yu Shu-chen holds the leading position in the Hualien County Magistrate race at 78% implied probability as the Kuomintang nominee selected through an internal party poll in March 2026. Her nomination followed the term limit of the prior KMT magistrate and reflects party efforts to consolidate support behind a candidate with two decades of local township experience. Other declared contenders, including independent Wei Chia-hsien and figures such as Chang Chun, remain at single-digit or lower levels, consistent with limited reported polling momentum or organizational backing at this stage. The November 28, 2026 local election timeline and KMT structural advantages in the county continue to shape trader assessments of the outcome.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hualien County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hualien County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
市场开放时间： Aug 14, 2026, 9:02 AM ET
交易量
$5,561结束日期
2026-11-28市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 9:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hualien County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Yu Shu-chen holds the leading position in the Hualien County Magistrate race at 78% implied probability as the Kuomintang nominee selected through an internal party poll in March 2026. Her nomination followed the term limit of the prior KMT magistrate and reflects party efforts to consolidate support behind a candidate with two decades of local township experience. Other declared contenders, including independent Wei Chia-hsien and figures such as Chang Chun, remain at single-digit or lower levels, consistent with limited reported polling momentum or organizational backing at this stage. The November 28, 2026 local election timeline and KMT structural advantages in the county continue to shape trader assessments of the outcome.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hualien County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hualien County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
交易量
$5,561结束日期
2026-11-28市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 9:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Yu Shu-chen holds the leading position in the Hualien County Magistrate race at 78% implied probability as the Kuomintang nominee selected through an internal party poll in March 2026. Her nomination followed the term limit of the prior KMT magistrate and reflects party efforts to consolidate support behind a candidate with two decades of local township experience. Other declared contenders, including independent Wei Chia-hsien and figures such as Chang Chun, remain at single-digit or lower levels, consistent with limited reported polling momentum or organizational backing at this stage. The November 28, 2026 local election timeline and KMT structural advantages in the county continue to shape trader assessments of the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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