Mississippi’s 2nd Congressional District maintains a consistent Democratic advantage rooted in its D+11 partisan voting index, majority-Black electorate, and history of delivering 60%+ support for Democratic nominees in recent cycles. Incumbent Bennie Thompson secured renomination in the March 2026 primary and enters the November general election against Republican Ron Eller and independent Bennie Foster, with nonpartisan forecasters rating the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus reflected in the 92% Democratic probability aligns with this structural edge and the absence of major developments or polling shifts since the primaries concluded. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain limited and would require events such as a late scandal, sharply depressed Democratic turnout, or an unforeseen national wave capable of overcoming the district’s established partisan baseline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$36,491 交易量
$36,491 交易量
2026-11-02
民主党
92%
共和党
8%
$36,491 交易量
$36,491 交易量
2026-11-02
民主党
$21,474 交易量
92%
共和党
$15,017 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mississippi’s 2nd Congressional District maintains a consistent Democratic advantage rooted in its D+11 partisan voting index, majority-Black electorate, and history of delivering 60%+ support for Democratic nominees in recent cycles. Incumbent Bennie Thompson secured renomination in the March 2026 primary and enters the November general election against Republican Ron Eller and independent Bennie Foster, with nonpartisan forecasters rating the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus reflected in the 92% Democratic probability aligns with this structural edge and the absence of major developments or polling shifts since the primaries concluded. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain limited and would require events such as a late scandal, sharply depressed Democratic turnout, or an unforeseen national wave capable of overcoming the district’s established partisan baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$36,491结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mississippi’s 2nd Congressional District maintains a consistent Democratic advantage rooted in its D+11 partisan voting index, majority-Black electorate, and history of delivering 60%+ support for Democratic nominees in recent cycles. Incumbent Bennie Thompson secured renomination in the March 2026 primary and enters the November general election against Republican Ron Eller and independent Bennie Foster, with nonpartisan forecasters rating the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus reflected in the 92% Democratic probability aligns with this structural edge and the absence of major developments or polling shifts since the primaries concluded. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain limited and would require events such as a late scandal, sharply depressed Democratic turnout, or an unforeseen national wave capable of overcoming the district’s established partisan baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$36,491结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mississippi’s 2nd Congressional District maintains a consistent Democratic advantage rooted in its D+11 partisan voting index, majority-Black electorate, and history of delivering 60%+ support for Democratic nominees in recent cycles. Incumbent Bennie Thompson secured renomination in the March 2026 primary and enters the November general election against Republican Ron Eller and independent Bennie Foster, with nonpartisan forecasters rating the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus reflected in the 92% Democratic probability aligns with this structural edge and the absence of major developments or polling shifts since the primaries concluded. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain limited and would require events such as a late scandal, sharply depressed Democratic turnout, or an unforeseen national wave capable of overcoming the district’s established partisan baseline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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