**Bennie Thompson's long incumbency since 1993, combined with the district's D+11 partisan voter index and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, underpins the 92.5% trader consensus for a Democratic hold.** Thompson secured renomination in the March 2026 Democratic primary with 86.4% of the vote, while Republican Ron Eller advanced from a narrow primary contest. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. The district's demographics and voting patterns in the Mississippi Delta and Jackson area have sustained this advantage across multiple cycles. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major scandal involving the incumbent, significant health developments, or an unusually strong Republican national environment boosting turnout, though historical margins suggest limited scope for an upset.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$36,491 交易量
$36,491 交易量
2026-11-02
民主党
93%
共和党
8%
$36,491 交易量
$36,491 交易量
2026-11-02
民主党
$21,474 交易量
93%
共和党
$15,017 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Bennie Thompson's long incumbency since 1993, combined with the district's D+11 partisan voter index and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, underpins the 92.5% trader consensus for a Democratic hold.** Thompson secured renomination in the March 2026 Democratic primary with 86.4% of the vote, while Republican Ron Eller advanced from a narrow primary contest. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. The district's demographics and voting patterns in the Mississippi Delta and Jackson area have sustained this advantage across multiple cycles. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major scandal involving the incumbent, significant health developments, or an unusually strong Republican national environment boosting turnout, though historical margins suggest limited scope for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$36,491结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Bennie Thompson's long incumbency since 1993, combined with the district's D+11 partisan voter index and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, underpins the 92.5% trader consensus for a Democratic hold.** Thompson secured renomination in the March 2026 Democratic primary with 86.4% of the vote, while Republican Ron Eller advanced from a narrow primary contest. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. The district's demographics and voting patterns in the Mississippi Delta and Jackson area have sustained this advantage across multiple cycles. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major scandal involving the incumbent, significant health developments, or an unusually strong Republican national environment boosting turnout, though historical margins suggest limited scope for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$36,491结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Bennie Thompson's long incumbency since 1993, combined with the district's D+11 partisan voter index and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, underpins the 92.5% trader consensus for a Democratic hold.** Thompson secured renomination in the March 2026 Democratic primary with 86.4% of the vote, while Republican Ron Eller advanced from a narrow primary contest. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. The district's demographics and voting patterns in the Mississippi Delta and Jackson area have sustained this advantage across multiple cycles. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major scandal involving the incumbent, significant health developments, or an unusually strong Republican national environment boosting turnout, though historical margins suggest limited scope for an upset.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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