Incumbent Democrat Gregory Meeks faces Republican George Marsh in the November 2026 general election for New York’s 5th congressional district, centered in southeast Queens. The seat’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in Meeks’s 72.9 percent victory in 2024 and a partisan voting index exceeding D+20, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Meeks, first elected in 1998, advanced unopposed after the Democratic primary was canceled, while Marsh secured the Republican nomination without opposition. Substantial fundraising by the incumbent, combined with the absence of competitive challengers or recent district-altering events, reinforces expectations of continued Democratic control. Low-probability shifts could arise from an unforeseen national electoral wave, incumbent health developments, or late-breaking scandals, though none currently appear on the horizon.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$53,084 交易量
$53,084 交易量
2026-11-02
民主党
97%
共和党
3%
$53,084 交易量
$53,084 交易量
2026-11-02
民主党
$20,963 交易量
97%
共和党
$32,120 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Gregory Meeks faces Republican George Marsh in the November 2026 general election for New York’s 5th congressional district, centered in southeast Queens. The seat’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in Meeks’s 72.9 percent victory in 2024 and a partisan voting index exceeding D+20, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Meeks, first elected in 1998, advanced unopposed after the Democratic primary was canceled, while Marsh secured the Republican nomination without opposition. Substantial fundraising by the incumbent, combined with the absence of competitive challengers or recent district-altering events, reinforces expectations of continued Democratic control. Low-probability shifts could arise from an unforeseen national electoral wave, incumbent health developments, or late-breaking scandals, though none currently appear on the horizon.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
交易量
$53,084结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Gregory Meeks faces Republican George Marsh in the November 2026 general election for New York’s 5th congressional district, centered in southeast Queens. The seat’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in Meeks’s 72.9 percent victory in 2024 and a partisan voting index exceeding D+20, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Meeks, first elected in 1998, advanced unopposed after the Democratic primary was canceled, while Marsh secured the Republican nomination without opposition. Substantial fundraising by the incumbent, combined with the absence of competitive challengers or recent district-altering events, reinforces expectations of continued Democratic control. Low-probability shifts could arise from an unforeseen national electoral wave, incumbent health developments, or late-breaking scandals, though none currently appear on the horizon.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$53,084结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Gregory Meeks faces Republican George Marsh in the November 2026 general election for New York’s 5th congressional district, centered in southeast Queens. The seat’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in Meeks’s 72.9 percent victory in 2024 and a partisan voting index exceeding D+20, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Meeks, first elected in 1998, advanced unopposed after the Democratic primary was canceled, while Marsh secured the Republican nomination without opposition. Substantial fundraising by the incumbent, combined with the absence of competitive challengers or recent district-altering events, reinforces expectations of continued Democratic control. Low-probability shifts could arise from an unforeseen national electoral wave, incumbent health developments, or late-breaking scandals, though none currently appear on the horizon.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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