Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 93.5% to retain New York's 5th Congressional District due to longtime incumbent Rep. Gregory Meeks' structural dominance in this D+24 Cook PVI seat covering Southeast Queens. Meeks, seeking a 15th term, routinely secures over 70% in general elections—as in his 73%-27% 2024 win—and holds $1.87 million cash on hand as of late March, dwarfing challengers. In the June 23 Democratic primary, he faces community organizer Salvatore Padellaro amid low competition, while Republicans Alexandria Foxworth and George Marsh lack fundraising. Realistic challenges include a primary upset, major Meeks scandal, aggressive GOP recruitment post-primary, or an extraordinary national Republican wave altering midterm dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$22,223 交易量
$22,223 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
94%
共和党
6%
$22,223 交易量
$22,223 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$14,739 交易量
94%
共和党
$7,484 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 93.5% to retain New York's 5th Congressional District due to longtime incumbent Rep. Gregory Meeks' structural dominance in this D+24 Cook PVI seat covering Southeast Queens. Meeks, seeking a 15th term, routinely secures over 70% in general elections—as in his 73%-27% 2024 win—and holds $1.87 million cash on hand as of late March, dwarfing challengers. In the June 23 Democratic primary, he faces community organizer Salvatore Padellaro amid low competition, while Republicans Alexandria Foxworth and George Marsh lack fundraising. Realistic challenges include a primary upset, major Meeks scandal, aggressive GOP recruitment post-primary, or an extraordinary national Republican wave altering midterm dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
交易量
$22,223结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 93.5% to retain New York's 5th Congressional District due to longtime incumbent Rep. Gregory Meeks' structural dominance in this D+24 Cook PVI seat covering Southeast Queens. Meeks, seeking a 15th term, routinely secures over 70% in general elections—as in his 73%-27% 2024 win—and holds $1.87 million cash on hand as of late March, dwarfing challengers. In the June 23 Democratic primary, he faces community organizer Salvatore Padellaro amid low competition, while Republicans Alexandria Foxworth and George Marsh lack fundraising. Realistic challenges include a primary upset, major Meeks scandal, aggressive GOP recruitment post-primary, or an extraordinary national Republican wave altering midterm dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$22,223结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 93.5% to retain New York's 5th Congressional District due to longtime incumbent Rep. Gregory Meeks' structural dominance in this D+24 Cook PVI seat covering Southeast Queens. Meeks, seeking a 15th term, routinely secures over 70% in general elections—as in his 73%-27% 2024 win—and holds $1.87 million cash on hand as of late March, dwarfing challengers. In the June 23 Democratic primary, he faces community organizer Salvatore Padellaro amid low competition, while Republicans Alexandria Foxworth and George Marsh lack fundraising. Realistic challenges include a primary upset, major Meeks scandal, aggressive GOP recruitment post-primary, or an extraordinary national Republican wave altering midterm dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题