The New York 6th congressional district’s entrenched Democratic tilt, anchored in Queens neighborhoods with longstanding partisan patterns and a D+6 Cook Partisan Voter Index, underpins trader consensus that the Democratic nominee will prevail in November 2026. Incumbent Grace Meng’s thirteen-year tenure, substantial fundraising lead, and endorsements from local unions and elected officials have reinforced her position ahead of the June 23 Democratic primary. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, consistent with historical margins exceeding 30 points. Late-breaking developments such as an unforeseen primary upset, significant candidate health issue, or national political realignment could still narrow the gap, though none have materialized in recent weeks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
92%
共和党
7%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
$2,931 交易量
92%
共和党
$3,131 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The New York 6th congressional district’s entrenched Democratic tilt, anchored in Queens neighborhoods with longstanding partisan patterns and a D+6 Cook Partisan Voter Index, underpins trader consensus that the Democratic nominee will prevail in November 2026. Incumbent Grace Meng’s thirteen-year tenure, substantial fundraising lead, and endorsements from local unions and elected officials have reinforced her position ahead of the June 23 Democratic primary. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, consistent with historical margins exceeding 30 points. Late-breaking developments such as an unforeseen primary upset, significant candidate health issue, or national political realignment could still narrow the gap, though none have materialized in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
交易量
$6,061结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The New York 6th congressional district’s entrenched Democratic tilt, anchored in Queens neighborhoods with longstanding partisan patterns and a D+6 Cook Partisan Voter Index, underpins trader consensus that the Democratic nominee will prevail in November 2026. Incumbent Grace Meng’s thirteen-year tenure, substantial fundraising lead, and endorsements from local unions and elected officials have reinforced her position ahead of the June 23 Democratic primary. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, consistent with historical margins exceeding 30 points. Late-breaking developments such as an unforeseen primary upset, significant candidate health issue, or national political realignment could still narrow the gap, though none have materialized in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$6,061结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The New York 6th congressional district’s entrenched Democratic tilt, anchored in Queens neighborhoods with longstanding partisan patterns and a D+6 Cook Partisan Voter Index, underpins trader consensus that the Democratic nominee will prevail in November 2026. Incumbent Grace Meng’s thirteen-year tenure, substantial fundraising lead, and endorsements from local unions and elected officials have reinforced her position ahead of the June 23 Democratic primary. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, consistent with historical margins exceeding 30 points. Late-breaking developments such as an unforeseen primary upset, significant candidate health issue, or national political realignment could still narrow the gap, though none have materialized in recent weeks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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