Incumbent Republican Rep. John Joyce's commanding position in Pennsylvania's safely Republican 13th Congressional District drives trader consensus to 93.5% for a GOP hold, bolstered by his unopposed primary path and the district's strong partisan lean favoring Republicans by double digits. No recent polls or developments in the past 30 days have altered this outlook, as Democratic primary contender Beth Farnham— a repeat challenger who lost decisively in 2024—heads into the May 19 vote without signs of momentum. While late-breaking scandals, health issues for Joyce, or a massive national Democratic wave could challenge the odds, historical incumbent re-election rates in similar safe seats make upsets rare.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
94%
民主党
6%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
$5,576 交易量
94%
民主党
$480 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rep. John Joyce's commanding position in Pennsylvania's safely Republican 13th Congressional District drives trader consensus to 93.5% for a GOP hold, bolstered by his unopposed primary path and the district's strong partisan lean favoring Republicans by double digits. No recent polls or developments in the past 30 days have altered this outlook, as Democratic primary contender Beth Farnham— a repeat challenger who lost decisively in 2024—heads into the May 19 vote without signs of momentum. While late-breaking scandals, health issues for Joyce, or a massive national Democratic wave could challenge the odds, historical incumbent re-election rates in similar safe seats make upsets rare.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$6,056结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rep. John Joyce's commanding position in Pennsylvania's safely Republican 13th Congressional District drives trader consensus to 93.5% for a GOP hold, bolstered by his unopposed primary path and the district's strong partisan lean favoring Republicans by double digits. No recent polls or developments in the past 30 days have altered this outlook, as Democratic primary contender Beth Farnham— a repeat challenger who lost decisively in 2024—heads into the May 19 vote without signs of momentum. While late-breaking scandals, health issues for Joyce, or a massive national Democratic wave could challenge the odds, historical incumbent re-election rates in similar safe seats make upsets rare.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$6,056结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Rep. John Joyce's commanding position in Pennsylvania's safely Republican 13th Congressional District drives trader consensus to 93.5% for a GOP hold, bolstered by his unopposed primary path and the district's strong partisan lean favoring Republicans by double digits. No recent polls or developments in the past 30 days have altered this outlook, as Democratic primary contender Beth Farnham— a repeat challenger who lost decisively in 2024—heads into the May 19 vote without signs of momentum. While late-breaking scandals, health issues for Joyce, or a massive national Democratic wave could challenge the odds, historical incumbent re-election rates in similar safe seats make upsets rare.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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