Incumbent Republican John Joyce holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania's 13th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, reflecting the seat's consistent Republican lean and his established incumbency advantage. Primary results from May confirmed Joyce and Democrat Beth Farnham as the nominees, with limited subsequent shifts in the race. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Republicans aligns with nonpartisan ratings classifying the contest as lean or likely Republican, driven by district voting patterns, fundraising differentials, and the absence of major national or local developments altering the baseline. Potential challenges remain narrow and would require late-cycle events such as an unforeseen scandal, significant health development, or an unusually strong Democratic turnout surge in a low-odds environment.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$15,316 交易量
$15,316 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
95%
民主党
6%
$15,316 交易量
$15,316 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$9,886 交易量
95%
民主党
$5,430 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican John Joyce holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania's 13th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, reflecting the seat's consistent Republican lean and his established incumbency advantage. Primary results from May confirmed Joyce and Democrat Beth Farnham as the nominees, with limited subsequent shifts in the race. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Republicans aligns with nonpartisan ratings classifying the contest as lean or likely Republican, driven by district voting patterns, fundraising differentials, and the absence of major national or local developments altering the baseline. Potential challenges remain narrow and would require late-cycle events such as an unforeseen scandal, significant health development, or an unusually strong Democratic turnout surge in a low-odds environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$15,316结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican John Joyce holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania's 13th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, reflecting the seat's consistent Republican lean and his established incumbency advantage. Primary results from May confirmed Joyce and Democrat Beth Farnham as the nominees, with limited subsequent shifts in the race. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Republicans aligns with nonpartisan ratings classifying the contest as lean or likely Republican, driven by district voting patterns, fundraising differentials, and the absence of major national or local developments altering the baseline. Potential challenges remain narrow and would require late-cycle events such as an unforeseen scandal, significant health development, or an unusually strong Democratic turnout surge in a low-odds environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$15,316结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican John Joyce holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania's 13th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, reflecting the seat's consistent Republican lean and his established incumbency advantage. Primary results from May confirmed Joyce and Democrat Beth Farnham as the nominees, with limited subsequent shifts in the race. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Republicans aligns with nonpartisan ratings classifying the contest as lean or likely Republican, driven by district voting patterns, fundraising differentials, and the absence of major national or local developments altering the baseline. Potential challenges remain narrow and would require late-cycle events such as an unforeseen scandal, significant health development, or an unusually strong Democratic turnout surge in a low-odds environment.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题