The Democratic nominee holds overwhelming trader consensus in Pennsylvania's 3rd congressional district because the seat ranks among the most partisan in the nation, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+40 that has produced consistent double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles. Dwight Evans's retirement announcement in June 2025 opened the race for the first time in a decade, drawing a crowded Democratic primary field ahead of the May 19 contest, yet the general election on November 3 remains structurally noncompetitive for Republicans. Historical performance and low GOP infrastructure in the Philadelphia-based district leave little room for an upset absent an unprecedented scandal or turnout collapse on the Democratic side.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$13,844 交易量
$13,844 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
94%
共和党
6%
$13,844 交易量
$13,844 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$7,942 交易量
94%
共和党
$5,902 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic nominee holds overwhelming trader consensus in Pennsylvania's 3rd congressional district because the seat ranks among the most partisan in the nation, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+40 that has produced consistent double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles. Dwight Evans's retirement announcement in June 2025 opened the race for the first time in a decade, drawing a crowded Democratic primary field ahead of the May 19 contest, yet the general election on November 3 remains structurally noncompetitive for Republicans. Historical performance and low GOP infrastructure in the Philadelphia-based district leave little room for an upset absent an unprecedented scandal or turnout collapse on the Democratic side.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$13,844结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic nominee holds overwhelming trader consensus in Pennsylvania's 3rd congressional district because the seat ranks among the most partisan in the nation, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+40 that has produced consistent double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles. Dwight Evans's retirement announcement in June 2025 opened the race for the first time in a decade, drawing a crowded Democratic primary field ahead of the May 19 contest, yet the general election on November 3 remains structurally noncompetitive for Republicans. Historical performance and low GOP infrastructure in the Philadelphia-based district leave little room for an upset absent an unprecedented scandal or turnout collapse on the Democratic side.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$13,844结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Democratic nominee holds overwhelming trader consensus in Pennsylvania's 3rd congressional district because the seat ranks among the most partisan in the nation, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+40 that has produced consistent double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles. Dwight Evans's retirement announcement in June 2025 opened the race for the first time in a decade, drawing a crowded Democratic primary field ahead of the May 19 contest, yet the general election on November 3 remains structurally noncompetitive for Republicans. Historical performance and low GOP infrastructure in the Philadelphia-based district leave little room for an upset absent an unprecedented scandal or turnout collapse on the Democratic side.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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