Incumbent Josh Harder maintains a strong edge in California’s 9th congressional district race, supported by the seat’s D+8 partisan lean and his established record since flipping it in 2018. Multiple Republican challengers have entered the June 2 primary, splitting the opposition field and limiting any single candidate’s ability to consolidate support ahead of the November general election. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report and Inside Elections classify the contest as Solid Democratic, consistent with trader consensus that prices a Democratic win near 90 percent. An upset would require an unusually cohesive Republican primary performance or broader national shifts that alter turnout patterns in this Central Valley district.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$11,756 交易量
$11,756 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
91%
共和党
9%
$11,756 交易量
$11,756 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$9,166 交易量
91%
共和党
$2,590 交易量
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Josh Harder maintains a strong edge in California’s 9th congressional district race, supported by the seat’s D+8 partisan lean and his established record since flipping it in 2018. Multiple Republican challengers have entered the June 2 primary, splitting the opposition field and limiting any single candidate’s ability to consolidate support ahead of the November general election. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report and Inside Elections classify the contest as Solid Democratic, consistent with trader consensus that prices a Democratic win near 90 percent. An upset would require an unusually cohesive Republican primary performance or broader national shifts that alter turnout patterns in this Central Valley district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
交易量
$11,756结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Josh Harder maintains a strong edge in California’s 9th congressional district race, supported by the seat’s D+8 partisan lean and his established record since flipping it in 2018. Multiple Republican challengers have entered the June 2 primary, splitting the opposition field and limiting any single candidate’s ability to consolidate support ahead of the November general election. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report and Inside Elections classify the contest as Solid Democratic, consistent with trader consensus that prices a Democratic win near 90 percent. An upset would require an unusually cohesive Republican primary performance or broader national shifts that alter turnout patterns in this Central Valley district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$11,756结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Josh Harder maintains a strong edge in California’s 9th congressional district race, supported by the seat’s D+8 partisan lean and his established record since flipping it in 2018. Multiple Republican challengers have entered the June 2 primary, splitting the opposition field and limiting any single candidate’s ability to consolidate support ahead of the November general election. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report and Inside Elections classify the contest as Solid Democratic, consistent with trader consensus that prices a Democratic win near 90 percent. An upset would require an unusually cohesive Republican primary performance or broader national shifts that alter turnout patterns in this Central Valley district.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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