Redistricting shifted Texas’s 9th congressional district into solidly Republican territory, with a Cook Political Report rating of Solid R and a partisan voting index reflecting recent Trump margins near 10 points. The Democratic primary produced nominee Leticia Gutierrez, while the Republican primary advanced to a May 26 runoff between state Rep. Briscoe Cain and Army veteran Alex Mealer, who received an endorsement from President Trump. Traders assign the Republican nominee an 82.5 percent implied probability of winning the November general election, consistent with the district’s new electorate and limited Democratic path to victory. The outcome will hinge on turnout among suburban and industrial voters in east Harris County and the result of the upcoming GOP runoff.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-04
共和党
82%
民主党
14%
最新
最新
2026-11-04
共和党
$1,893 交易量
82%
民主党
$1,836 交易量
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting shifted Texas’s 9th congressional district into solidly Republican territory, with a Cook Political Report rating of Solid R and a partisan voting index reflecting recent Trump margins near 10 points. The Democratic primary produced nominee Leticia Gutierrez, while the Republican primary advanced to a May 26 runoff between state Rep. Briscoe Cain and Army veteran Alex Mealer, who received an endorsement from President Trump. Traders assign the Republican nominee an 82.5 percent implied probability of winning the November general election, consistent with the district’s new electorate and limited Democratic path to victory. The outcome will hinge on turnout among suburban and industrial voters in east Harris County and the result of the upcoming GOP runoff.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 12:58 PM ET
交易量
$3,728结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting shifted Texas’s 9th congressional district into solidly Republican territory, with a Cook Political Report rating of Solid R and a partisan voting index reflecting recent Trump margins near 10 points. The Democratic primary produced nominee Leticia Gutierrez, while the Republican primary advanced to a May 26 runoff between state Rep. Briscoe Cain and Army veteran Alex Mealer, who received an endorsement from President Trump. Traders assign the Republican nominee an 82.5 percent implied probability of winning the November general election, consistent with the district’s new electorate and limited Democratic path to victory. The outcome will hinge on turnout among suburban and industrial voters in east Harris County and the result of the upcoming GOP runoff.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$3,728结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting shifted Texas’s 9th congressional district into solidly Republican territory, with a Cook Political Report rating of Solid R and a partisan voting index reflecting recent Trump margins near 10 points. The Democratic primary produced nominee Leticia Gutierrez, while the Republican primary advanced to a May 26 runoff between state Rep. Briscoe Cain and Army veteran Alex Mealer, who received an endorsement from President Trump. Traders assign the Republican nominee an 82.5 percent implied probability of winning the November general election, consistent with the district’s new electorate and limited Democratic path to victory. The outcome will hinge on turnout among suburban and industrial voters in east Harris County and the result of the upcoming GOP runoff.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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