Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Democrats at 55.5% to win Nevada's 2026 gubernatorial race, a slight edge over Republicans at 43.5% despite polling averages like RealClearPolitics showing incumbent Republican Gov. Joe Lombardo leading Democratic AG Aaron Ford by just 0.5 points (40%-39.5%) in recent surveys through late March. High undecideds (20-25%) and Nevada's battleground status, with Democrats dominant in populous Clark County, fuel the close contest ahead of June 9 primaries, where Lombardo holds a commanding 60% in the GOP field per a March Noble poll while Ford leads Democrats. Recent utility endorsements for Lombardo add momentum, but no new polls this month sustain trader caution on the tight path-to-victory amid historical narrow margins.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$23,056 交易量
$23,056 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
55%
共和党
42%
$23,056 交易量
$23,056 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$6,136 交易量
55%
共和党
$16,919 交易量
42%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Democrats at 55.5% to win Nevada's 2026 gubernatorial race, a slight edge over Republicans at 43.5% despite polling averages like RealClearPolitics showing incumbent Republican Gov. Joe Lombardo leading Democratic AG Aaron Ford by just 0.5 points (40%-39.5%) in recent surveys through late March. High undecideds (20-25%) and Nevada's battleground status, with Democrats dominant in populous Clark County, fuel the close contest ahead of June 9 primaries, where Lombardo holds a commanding 60% in the GOP field per a March Noble poll while Ford leads Democrats. Recent utility endorsements for Lombardo add momentum, but no new polls this month sustain trader caution on the tight path-to-victory amid historical narrow margins.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
交易量
$23,056结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Democrats at 55.5% to win Nevada's 2026 gubernatorial race, a slight edge over Republicans at 43.5% despite polling averages like RealClearPolitics showing incumbent Republican Gov. Joe Lombardo leading Democratic AG Aaron Ford by just 0.5 points (40%-39.5%) in recent surveys through late March. High undecideds (20-25%) and Nevada's battleground status, with Democrats dominant in populous Clark County, fuel the close contest ahead of June 9 primaries, where Lombardo holds a commanding 60% in the GOP field per a March Noble poll while Ford leads Democrats. Recent utility endorsements for Lombardo add momentum, but no new polls this month sustain trader caution on the tight path-to-victory amid historical narrow margins.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$23,056结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Democrats at 55.5% to win Nevada's 2026 gubernatorial race, a slight edge over Republicans at 43.5% despite polling averages like RealClearPolitics showing incumbent Republican Gov. Joe Lombardo leading Democratic AG Aaron Ford by just 0.5 points (40%-39.5%) in recent surveys through late March. High undecideds (20-25%) and Nevada's battleground status, with Democrats dominant in populous Clark County, fuel the close contest ahead of June 9 primaries, where Lombardo holds a commanding 60% in the GOP field per a March Noble poll while Ford leads Democrats. Recent utility endorsements for Lombardo add momentum, but no new polls this month sustain trader caution on the tight path-to-victory amid historical narrow margins.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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