Katie Hobbs, the Democratic incumbent seeking a second term, holds an 87.5% implied probability in the Arizona governor race due to consistent polling leads of 5–15 points over Republican nominee Andy Biggs in recent August surveys of likely voters. Hobbs benefits from strong consolidation among Democrats, advantages among independents and women, and her position as sitting governor in a state that narrowly supported her in 2022. Biggs secured the GOP nomination in the July 21 primary but continues to trail in party support and crossover appeal. The November 3 general election features the first lieutenant governor running mates under Proposition 131, with both campaigns focusing on issues such as affordability, water policy, and economic growth.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$67,173 交易量
$67,173 交易量
2026-11-02
民主党
88%
共和党
13%
$67,173 交易量
$67,173 交易量
2026-11-02
民主党
$31,009 交易量
88%
共和党
$36,163 交易量
13%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Katie Hobbs, the Democratic incumbent seeking a second term, holds an 87.5% implied probability in the Arizona governor race due to consistent polling leads of 5–15 points over Republican nominee Andy Biggs in recent August surveys of likely voters. Hobbs benefits from strong consolidation among Democrats, advantages among independents and women, and her position as sitting governor in a state that narrowly supported her in 2022. Biggs secured the GOP nomination in the July 21 primary but continues to trail in party support and crossover appeal. The November 3 general election features the first lieutenant governor running mates under Proposition 131, with both campaigns focusing on issues such as affordability, water policy, and economic growth.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
交易量
$67,173结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Katie Hobbs, the Democratic incumbent seeking a second term, holds an 87.5% implied probability in the Arizona governor race due to consistent polling leads of 5–15 points over Republican nominee Andy Biggs in recent August surveys of likely voters. Hobbs benefits from strong consolidation among Democrats, advantages among independents and women, and her position as sitting governor in a state that narrowly supported her in 2022. Biggs secured the GOP nomination in the July 21 primary but continues to trail in party support and crossover appeal. The November 3 general election features the first lieutenant governor running mates under Proposition 131, with both campaigns focusing on issues such as affordability, water policy, and economic growth.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$67,173结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETKatie Hobbs, the Democratic incumbent seeking a second term, holds an 87.5% implied probability in the Arizona governor race due to consistent polling leads of 5–15 points over Republican nominee Andy Biggs in recent August surveys of likely voters. Hobbs benefits from strong consolidation among Democrats, advantages among independents and women, and her position as sitting governor in a state that narrowly supported her in 2022. Biggs secured the GOP nomination in the July 21 primary but continues to trail in party support and crossover appeal. The November 3 general election features the first lieutenant governor running mates under Proposition 131, with both campaigns focusing on issues such as affordability, water policy, and economic growth.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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