Incumbent Democratic Governor Katie Hobbs holds a consistent edge in general election polling for the November 2026 contest, supporting trader consensus on a Democratic victory. Recent surveys, including those from Noble Predictive Insights and Emerson College, show her leading Republican frontrunner Andy Biggs by margins of 1 to 5 points in head-to-head matchups, reflecting her incumbency advantage in a state that remains competitive after narrow 2022 results and Republican gains in 2024. The July 21 Republican primary has narrowed to Biggs as the clear leader following Karrin Taylor Robson's earlier withdrawal, yet this has not shifted overall odds, as general election trends continue to favor the sitting governor absent major shifts in turnout or campaign developments.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$42,522 交易量
$42,522 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
76%
共和党
25%
$42,522 交易量
$42,522 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$22,824 交易量
76%
共和党
$19,698 交易量
25%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Katie Hobbs holds a consistent edge in general election polling for the November 2026 contest, supporting trader consensus on a Democratic victory. Recent surveys, including those from Noble Predictive Insights and Emerson College, show her leading Republican frontrunner Andy Biggs by margins of 1 to 5 points in head-to-head matchups, reflecting her incumbency advantage in a state that remains competitive after narrow 2022 results and Republican gains in 2024. The July 21 Republican primary has narrowed to Biggs as the clear leader following Karrin Taylor Robson's earlier withdrawal, yet this has not shifted overall odds, as general election trends continue to favor the sitting governor absent major shifts in turnout or campaign developments.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
交易量
$42,522结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Katie Hobbs holds a consistent edge in general election polling for the November 2026 contest, supporting trader consensus on a Democratic victory. Recent surveys, including those from Noble Predictive Insights and Emerson College, show her leading Republican frontrunner Andy Biggs by margins of 1 to 5 points in head-to-head matchups, reflecting her incumbency advantage in a state that remains competitive after narrow 2022 results and Republican gains in 2024. The July 21 Republican primary has narrowed to Biggs as the clear leader following Karrin Taylor Robson's earlier withdrawal, yet this has not shifted overall odds, as general election trends continue to favor the sitting governor absent major shifts in turnout or campaign developments.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$42,522结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Governor Katie Hobbs holds a consistent edge in general election polling for the November 2026 contest, supporting trader consensus on a Democratic victory. Recent surveys, including those from Noble Predictive Insights and Emerson College, show her leading Republican frontrunner Andy Biggs by margins of 1 to 5 points in head-to-head matchups, reflecting her incumbency advantage in a state that remains competitive after narrow 2022 results and Republican gains in 2024. The July 21 Republican primary has narrowed to Biggs as the clear leader following Karrin Taylor Robson's earlier withdrawal, yet this has not shifted overall odds, as general election trends continue to favor the sitting governor absent major shifts in turnout or campaign developments.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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