The September 18–20 Amur Oblast legislative election, held alongside the federal State Duma vote, features United Russia as the clear frontrunner due to its incumbency, top ballot position in the region, and the mixed electoral system allocating 9 proportional seats plus 18 single-member districts. The party’s established majority in the 27-seat Legislative Assembly, combined with registration advantages for systemic parties and restrictions on non-systemic challengers, underpins trader pricing near 99 percent. Other registered lists, including CPRF, LDPR, New People, and A Just Russia, trail far behind in historical regional results and current positioning. Potential shifts remain narrow and would require unforeseen factors such as abrupt candidate disqualifications, unusually low turnout in single-member districts, or coordinated opposition consolidation—developments that have not materialized in comparable recent cycles.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于United Russia 99.0%
CPRF <1%
Communists of Russia <1%
LDPR <1%
最新
最新
2026-09-20
United Russia
99%
CPRF
<1%
Communists of Russia
<1%
LDPR
<1%
New People
<1%
Party of Pensioners
<1%
A Just Russia
<1%
United Russia 99.0%
CPRF <1%
Communists of Russia <1%
LDPR <1%
最新
最新
2026-09-20
United Russia
$3,211 交易量
99%
CPRF
$916 交易量
<1%
Communists of Russia
$601 交易量
<1%
LDPR
$878 交易量
<1%
New People
$686 交易量
<1%
Party of Pensioners
$713 交易量
<1%
A Just Russia
$728 交易量
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Legislative Assembly of Amur Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Amur Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Amur Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Amur Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Amur Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.The September 18–20 Amur Oblast legislative election, held alongside the federal State Duma vote, features United Russia as the clear frontrunner due to its incumbency, top ballot position in the region, and the mixed electoral system allocating 9 proportional seats plus 18 single-member districts. The party’s established majority in the 27-seat Legislative Assembly, combined with registration advantages for systemic parties and restrictions on non-systemic challengers, underpins trader pricing near 99 percent. Other registered lists, including CPRF, LDPR, New People, and A Just Russia, trail far behind in historical regional results and current positioning. Potential shifts remain narrow and would require unforeseen factors such as abrupt candidate disqualifications, unusually low turnout in single-member districts, or coordinated opposition consolidation—developments that have not materialized in comparable recent cycles.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Legislative Assembly of Amur Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Amur Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Amur Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Amur Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Amur Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Amur Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Amur Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Amur Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Amur Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
市场开放时间： Jul 28, 2026, 11:51 AM ET
交易量
$7,732结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Jul 28, 2026, 11:51 AM ETParliamentary elections to elect the Legislative Assembly of Amur Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Amur Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Amur Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Amur Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Amur Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.The September 18–20 Amur Oblast legislative election, held alongside the federal State Duma vote, features United Russia as the clear frontrunner due to its incumbency, top ballot position in the region, and the mixed electoral system allocating 9 proportional seats plus 18 single-member districts. The party’s established majority in the 27-seat Legislative Assembly, combined with registration advantages for systemic parties and restrictions on non-systemic challengers, underpins trader pricing near 99 percent. Other registered lists, including CPRF, LDPR, New People, and A Just Russia, trail far behind in historical regional results and current positioning. Potential shifts remain narrow and would require unforeseen factors such as abrupt candidate disqualifications, unusually low turnout in single-member districts, or coordinated opposition consolidation—developments that have not materialized in comparable recent cycles.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Legislative Assembly of Amur Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Amur Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Amur Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Amur Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Amur Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Amur Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Amur Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Amur Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Amur Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
交易量
$7,732结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Jul 28, 2026, 11:51 AM ETThe September 18–20 Amur Oblast legislative election, held alongside the federal State Duma vote, features United Russia as the clear frontrunner due to its incumbency, top ballot position in the region, and the mixed electoral system allocating 9 proportional seats plus 18 single-member districts. The party’s established majority in the 27-seat Legislative Assembly, combined with registration advantages for systemic parties and restrictions on non-systemic challengers, underpins trader pricing near 99 percent. Other registered lists, including CPRF, LDPR, New People, and A Just Russia, trail far behind in historical regional results and current positioning. Potential shifts remain narrow and would require unforeseen factors such as abrupt candidate disqualifications, unusually low turnout in single-member districts, or coordinated opposition consolidation—developments that have not materialized in comparable recent cycles.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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