UK parliamentary by-elections are triggered when a seat becomes vacant through resignation or death, with the writ moved by convention at a time chosen by the party that previously held the constituency. As of mid-September 2026, the most recent parliamentary contests followed resignations by Reform UK leader Nigel Farage in Clacton (writ moved July 2026, poll 13 August) and Labour MP Josh Simons in Makerfield (May 2026, poll 18 June) to enable Andy Burnham’s candidacy. Former Prime Minister Keir Starmer’s resignation on 1 September 2026 to pursue international roles directly prompted the writ for Holborn and St Pancras, scheduled for 8 October. Additional vacancies could arise from personal decisions, internal party pressures, or procedural moves ahead of scheduled local contests and the next general election. Timing remains flexible within statutory limits once a vacancy occurs.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
2026-10-31
10月31日
17%
12月31日
40%
$124 交易量
10月31日
$52 交易量
17%
12月31日
$72 交易量
40%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a writ calling for a parliamentary by-election in a UK parliamentary constituency is issued by the UK Clerk of the Crown in Chancery by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The issuance of a writ must be confirmed within the specified timeframe to qualify.
Only a writ issued after market creation will count. The writ for the Holborn and St Pancras by-election, issued prior to market creation, will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, including the UK Parliament and the relevant local government conducting the election; however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.UK parliamentary by-elections are triggered when a seat becomes vacant through resignation or death, with the writ moved by convention at a time chosen by the party that previously held the constituency. As of mid-September 2026, the most recent parliamentary contests followed resignations by Reform UK leader Nigel Farage in Clacton (writ moved July 2026, poll 13 August) and Labour MP Josh Simons in Makerfield (May 2026, poll 18 June) to enable Andy Burnham’s candidacy. Former Prime Minister Keir Starmer’s resignation on 1 September 2026 to pursue international roles directly prompted the writ for Holborn and St Pancras, scheduled for 8 October. Additional vacancies could arise from personal decisions, internal party pressures, or procedural moves ahead of scheduled local contests and the next general election. Timing remains flexible within statutory limits once a vacancy occurs.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a writ calling for a parliamentary by-election in a UK parliamentary constituency is issued by the UK Clerk of the Crown in Chancery by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The issuance of a writ must be confirmed within the specified timeframe to qualify.
Only a writ issued after market creation will count. The writ for the Holborn and St Pancras by-election, issued prior to market creation, will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, including the UK Parliament and the relevant local government conducting the election; however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The issuance of a writ must be confirmed within the specified timeframe to qualify.
Only a writ issued after market creation will count. The writ for the Holborn and St Pancras by-election, issued prior to market creation, will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, including the UK Parliament and the relevant local government conducting the election; however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间： Sep 14, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
交易量
$124结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Sep 14, 2026, 5:47 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if a writ calling for a parliamentary by-election in a UK parliamentary constituency is issued by the UK Clerk of the Crown in Chancery by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The issuance of a writ must be confirmed within the specified timeframe to qualify.
Only a writ issued after market creation will count. The writ for the Holborn and St Pancras by-election, issued prior to market creation, will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, including the UK Parliament and the relevant local government conducting the election; however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.UK parliamentary by-elections are triggered when a seat becomes vacant through resignation or death, with the writ moved by convention at a time chosen by the party that previously held the constituency. As of mid-September 2026, the most recent parliamentary contests followed resignations by Reform UK leader Nigel Farage in Clacton (writ moved July 2026, poll 13 August) and Labour MP Josh Simons in Makerfield (May 2026, poll 18 June) to enable Andy Burnham’s candidacy. Former Prime Minister Keir Starmer’s resignation on 1 September 2026 to pursue international roles directly prompted the writ for Holborn and St Pancras, scheduled for 8 October. Additional vacancies could arise from personal decisions, internal party pressures, or procedural moves ahead of scheduled local contests and the next general election. Timing remains flexible within statutory limits once a vacancy occurs.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a writ calling for a parliamentary by-election in a UK parliamentary constituency is issued by the UK Clerk of the Crown in Chancery by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The issuance of a writ must be confirmed within the specified timeframe to qualify.
Only a writ issued after market creation will count. The writ for the Holborn and St Pancras by-election, issued prior to market creation, will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, including the UK Parliament and the relevant local government conducting the election; however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The issuance of a writ must be confirmed within the specified timeframe to qualify.
Only a writ issued after market creation will count. The writ for the Holborn and St Pancras by-election, issued prior to market creation, will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, including the UK Parliament and the relevant local government conducting the election; however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$124结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Sep 14, 2026, 5:47 PM ETUK parliamentary by-elections are triggered when a seat becomes vacant through resignation or death, with the writ moved by convention at a time chosen by the party that previously held the constituency. As of mid-September 2026, the most recent parliamentary contests followed resignations by Reform UK leader Nigel Farage in Clacton (writ moved July 2026, poll 13 August) and Labour MP Josh Simons in Makerfield (May 2026, poll 18 June) to enable Andy Burnham’s candidacy. Former Prime Minister Keir Starmer’s resignation on 1 September 2026 to pursue international roles directly prompted the writ for Holborn and St Pancras, scheduled for 8 October. Additional vacancies could arise from personal decisions, internal party pressures, or procedural moves ahead of scheduled local contests and the next general election. Timing remains flexible within statutory limits once a vacancy occurs.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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