The entry of Parti Socialiste first secretary Olivier Faure as a candidate has narrowed expectations around Raphaël Glucksmann of Place Publique and created a competitive field that also includes Jérôme Guedj, Philippe Brun, Emmanuel Maurel, and Ségolène Royal. Formal declarations close on 15 September, with parrainage thresholds still to be cleared ahead of the electronic first-round vote on 9-10 October. Internal debates over the scope of participation, including potential inclusion of figures such as François Ruffin, and the structure of televised debates have added friction without yet producing a clear frontrunner. These overlapping candidacies and procedural questions sustain tight trader pricing among the leading options while leaving room for late shifts in endorsements or turnout among party members and sympathizers.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于杰罗姆·格日 36%
拉斐尔·格鲁克斯曼 34%
菲利普·布伦 27%
奥利维耶·福尔 26%

杰罗姆·格日
36%

拉斐尔·格鲁克斯曼
34%

菲利普·布伦
27%

奥利维耶·福尔
26%

埃马纽埃尔·莫雷尔
26%

塞戈莱娜·罗亚尔
19%
杰罗姆·格日 36%
拉斐尔·格鲁克斯曼 34%
菲利普·布伦 27%
奥利维耶·福尔 26%

杰罗姆·格日
36%

拉斐尔·格鲁克斯曼
34%

菲利普·布伦
27%

奥利维耶·福尔
26%

埃马纽埃尔·莫雷尔
26%

塞戈莱娜·罗亚尔
19%
This market will resolve to the candidate who receives the greatest number of votes in the first round of the primary.
If the first round is cancelled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other".
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of votes received in the first round, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If two or more candidates are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed candidate names. This market will resolve to the candidate who occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.
市场开放时间: Sep 9, 2026, 6:26 PM ET
This market will resolve to the candidate who receives the greatest number of votes in the first round of the primary.
If the first round is cancelled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other".
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of votes received in the first round, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If two or more candidates are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed candidate names. This market will resolve to the candidate who occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.
The entry of Parti Socialiste first secretary Olivier Faure as a candidate has narrowed expectations around Raphaël Glucksmann of Place Publique and created a competitive field that also includes Jérôme Guedj, Philippe Brun, Emmanuel Maurel, and Ségolène Royal. Formal declarations close on 15 September, with parrainage thresholds still to be cleared ahead of the electronic first-round vote on 9-10 October. Internal debates over the scope of participation, including potential inclusion of figures such as François Ruffin, and the structure of televised debates have added friction without yet producing a clear frontrunner. These overlapping candidacies and procedural questions sustain tight trader pricing among the leading options while leaving room for late shifts in endorsements or turnout among party members and sympathizers.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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