Blue and White, led by Benny Gantz, faces intense competition from newer centrist and center-right lists such as Yashar (Gadi Eisenkot) and Together (Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid) ahead of the October 27 Knesset election. Recent September 2026 polls from Channel 12, Maariv/Lazar, and others consistently place the party at 1-2.8 percent or below the 3.25 percent threshold, reflecting defections of lawmakers and voters to rivals plus limited success in forging mergers. This fragmentation and the broader opposition bloc realignment sustain trader uncertainty, with the 2-3.25 percent bracket holding a narrow edge over sub-0.75 percent outcomes. Key upcoming factors include final candidate slate impacts, turnout among centrist voters, and any last-minute security or coalition signals that could shift undecided support before election day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于2-3.25% 40%
低于0.75% 36%
1.25-2% 29%
3.25%+ 29%
最新
最新
2026-11-30
低于0.75%
23%
0.75-1.25%
28%
1.25-2%
29%
2-3.25%
40%
3.25%+
29%
2-3.25% 40%
低于0.75% 36%
1.25-2% 29%
3.25%+ 29%
最新
最新
2026-11-30
低于0.75%
$19 交易量
23%
0.75-1.25%
$0 交易量
28%
1.25-2%
$0 交易量
29%
2-3.25%
$0 交易量
40%
3.25%+
$0 交易量
29%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Blue and White, led by Benny Gantz, faces intense competition from newer centrist and center-right lists such as Yashar (Gadi Eisenkot) and Together (Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid) ahead of the October 27 Knesset election. Recent September 2026 polls from Channel 12, Maariv/Lazar, and others consistently place the party at 1-2.8 percent or below the 3.25 percent threshold, reflecting defections of lawmakers and voters to rivals plus limited success in forging mergers. This fragmentation and the broader opposition bloc realignment sustain trader uncertainty, with the 2-3.25 percent bracket holding a narrow edge over sub-0.75 percent outcomes. Key upcoming factors include final candidate slate impacts, turnout among centrist voters, and any last-minute security or coalition signals that could shift undecided support before election day.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
市场开放时间： Sep 8, 2026, 4:26 PM ET
交易量
$19结束日期
2026-10-27市场开放时间
Sep 8, 2026, 4:26 PM ETLegislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Blue and White, led by Benny Gantz, faces intense competition from newer centrist and center-right lists such as Yashar (Gadi Eisenkot) and Together (Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid) ahead of the October 27 Knesset election. Recent September 2026 polls from Channel 12, Maariv/Lazar, and others consistently place the party at 1-2.8 percent or below the 3.25 percent threshold, reflecting defections of lawmakers and voters to rivals plus limited success in forging mergers. This fragmentation and the broader opposition bloc realignment sustain trader uncertainty, with the 2-3.25 percent bracket holding a narrow edge over sub-0.75 percent outcomes. Key upcoming factors include final candidate slate impacts, turnout among centrist voters, and any last-minute security or coalition signals that could shift undecided support before election day.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
交易量
$19结束日期
2026-10-27市场开放时间
Sep 8, 2026, 4:26 PM ETBlue and White, led by Benny Gantz, faces intense competition from newer centrist and center-right lists such as Yashar (Gadi Eisenkot) and Together (Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid) ahead of the October 27 Knesset election. Recent September 2026 polls from Channel 12, Maariv/Lazar, and others consistently place the party at 1-2.8 percent or below the 3.25 percent threshold, reflecting defections of lawmakers and voters to rivals plus limited success in forging mergers. This fragmentation and the broader opposition bloc realignment sustain trader uncertainty, with the 2-3.25 percent bracket holding a narrow edge over sub-0.75 percent outcomes. Key upcoming factors include final candidate slate impacts, turnout among centrist voters, and any last-minute security or coalition signals that could shift undecided support before election day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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