The Democrats, the merged Labor-Meretz slate led by Yair Golan, sits in a narrow band of recent polling around 8-10 Knesset seats ahead of the October 27 election, reflecting steady but limited support within the broader opposition bloc. High-turnout party primaries in July produced a consolidated list emphasizing security figures and social activists, yet the party faces competition for center-left votes from Yashar and Together, alongside the 3.25% threshold that can swing small shifts into larger seat changes. Trader pricing across the 6-9% brackets captures this uncertainty, with separation likely hinging on turnout in urban and Arab sectors, late campaign momentum, or any movement in the overall anti-Netanyahu coalition arithmetic before lists finalize and early voting begins.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6-7% 42%
9%以上 42%
8-9% 41%
少于6% 41%
最新
最新
2026-11-30
少于6%
41%
6-7%
42%
7-8%
39%
8-9%
41%
9%以上
42%
6-7% 42%
9%以上 42%
8-9% 41%
少于6% 41%
最新
最新
2026-11-30
少于6%
$0 交易量
41%
6-7%
$0 交易量
42%
7-8%
$0 交易量
39%
8-9%
$0 交易量
41%
9%以上
$0 交易量
42%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by The Democrats party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by The Democrats's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether The Democrats passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).The Democrats, the merged Labor-Meretz slate led by Yair Golan, sits in a narrow band of recent polling around 8-10 Knesset seats ahead of the October 27 election, reflecting steady but limited support within the broader opposition bloc. High-turnout party primaries in July produced a consolidated list emphasizing security figures and social activists, yet the party faces competition for center-left votes from Yashar and Together, alongside the 3.25% threshold that can swing small shifts into larger seat changes. Trader pricing across the 6-9% brackets captures this uncertainty, with separation likely hinging on turnout in urban and Arab sectors, late campaign momentum, or any movement in the overall anti-Netanyahu coalition arithmetic before lists finalize and early voting begins.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by The Democrats party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by The Democrats's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether The Democrats passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by The Democrats party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by The Democrats's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether The Democrats passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
市场开放时间： Sep 8, 2026, 2:33 PM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-10-27市场开放时间
Sep 8, 2026, 2:33 PM ETLegislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by The Democrats party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by The Democrats's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether The Democrats passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).The Democrats, the merged Labor-Meretz slate led by Yair Golan, sits in a narrow band of recent polling around 8-10 Knesset seats ahead of the October 27 election, reflecting steady but limited support within the broader opposition bloc. High-turnout party primaries in July produced a consolidated list emphasizing security figures and social activists, yet the party faces competition for center-left votes from Yashar and Together, alongside the 3.25% threshold that can swing small shifts into larger seat changes. Trader pricing across the 6-9% brackets captures this uncertainty, with separation likely hinging on turnout in urban and Arab sectors, late campaign momentum, or any movement in the overall anti-Netanyahu coalition arithmetic before lists finalize and early voting begins.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by The Democrats party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by The Democrats's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether The Democrats passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by The Democrats party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by The Democrats's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether The Democrats passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-10-27市场开放时间
Sep 8, 2026, 2:33 PM ETThe Democrats, the merged Labor-Meretz slate led by Yair Golan, sits in a narrow band of recent polling around 8-10 Knesset seats ahead of the October 27 election, reflecting steady but limited support within the broader opposition bloc. High-turnout party primaries in July produced a consolidated list emphasizing security figures and social activists, yet the party faces competition for center-left votes from Yashar and Together, alongside the 3.25% threshold that can swing small shifts into larger seat changes. Trader pricing across the 6-9% brackets captures this uncertainty, with separation likely hinging on turnout in urban and Arab sectors, late campaign momentum, or any movement in the overall anti-Netanyahu coalition arithmetic before lists finalize and early voting begins.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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