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icon for 俄罗斯大选:莫斯科政党排行榜第二?

俄罗斯大选:莫斯科政党排行榜第二?

icon for 俄罗斯大选:莫斯科政党排行榜第二?

俄罗斯大选:莫斯科政党排行榜第二?

俄罗斯联邦共产党(KPRF) 73%

新人民党(NL) 25%

俄罗斯自由民主党(LDPR) 4.2%

统一俄罗斯党(ER) 1.1%

Polymarket
最新

俄罗斯联邦共产党(KPRF) 73%

新人民党(NL) 25%

俄罗斯自由民主党(LDPR) 4.2%

统一俄罗斯党(ER) 1.1%

Polymarket
最新
icon for 俄罗斯联邦共产党(KPRF)

俄罗斯联邦共产党(KPRF)

$1,673 交易量

73%

icon for 新人民党(NL)

新人民党(NL)

$3,179 交易量

25%

icon for 俄罗斯自由民主党(LDPR)

俄罗斯自由民主党(LDPR)

$1,903 交易量

4%

icon for 统一俄罗斯党(ER)

统一俄罗斯党(ER)

$830 交易量

1%

icon for 祖国党

祖国党

$480 交易量

<1%

icon for 公正俄罗斯党(SR)

公正俄罗斯党(SR)

$268 交易量

<1%

icon for 亚布洛科党

亚布洛科党

$531 交易量

<1%

icon for 公民平台党(GP)

公民平台党(GP)

$385 交易量

<1%

icon for 俄罗斯养老党

俄罗斯养老党

$383 交易量

<1%

icon for 俄罗斯生态党“绿党”

俄罗斯生态党“绿党”

$239 交易量

<1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that receives the second greatest number of votes on the federal party-list ballot in the federal city of Moscow in the 2026 Russian State Duma election. The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received on the federal party-list ballot within the federal city of Moscow. If two or more parties are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking. Votes will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Votes attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If a named party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, votes officially attributed to that successor party will count. If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.KPRF leads market pricing for second place on Moscow's party-list vote in the ongoing 2026 State Duma election because independent and state polls through early September consistently placed it ahead of or tied with New People and LDPR among decided voters behind dominant United Russia, reflecting the party's established Moscow organization and appeal to protest voters. Yabloko's Supreme Court removal from the federal ballot in August consolidated potential anti-incumbent support among remaining systemic parties, boosting KPRF's relative position after earlier New People gains from internet-access criticism faded. LDPR and smaller lists trail due to weaker capital-specific polling and structures, while United Russia's expected first-place finish leaves little room for alternatives to challenge the implied probability reflected in trader consensus.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that receives the second greatest number of votes on the federal party-list ballot in the federal city of Moscow in the 2026 Russian State Duma election.

The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received on the federal party-list ballot within the federal city of Moscow. If two or more parties are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.

Votes will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Votes attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If a named party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, votes officially attributed to that successor party will count.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that receives the second greatest number of votes on the federal party-list ballot in the federal city of Moscow in the 2026 Russian State Duma election. The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received on the federal party-list ballot within the federal city of Moscow. If two or more parties are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking. Votes will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Votes attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If a named party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, votes officially attributed to that successor party will count. If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
交易量
$9,871
结束日期
2026-09-20
市场开放时间
Sep 17, 2026, 1:36 PM ET
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that receives the second greatest number of votes on the federal party-list ballot in the federal city of Moscow in the 2026 Russian State Duma election. The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received on the federal party-list ballot within the federal city of Moscow. If two or more parties are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking. Votes will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Votes attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If a named party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, votes officially attributed to that successor party will count. If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.KPRF leads market pricing for second place on Moscow's party-list vote in the ongoing 2026 State Duma election because independent and state polls through early September consistently placed it ahead of or tied with New People and LDPR among decided voters behind dominant United Russia, reflecting the party's established Moscow organization and appeal to protest voters. Yabloko's Supreme Court removal from the federal ballot in August consolidated potential anti-incumbent support among remaining systemic parties, boosting KPRF's relative position after earlier New People gains from internet-access criticism faded. LDPR and smaller lists trail due to weaker capital-specific polling and structures, while United Russia's expected first-place finish leaves little room for alternatives to challenge the implied probability reflected in trader consensus.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that receives the second greatest number of votes on the federal party-list ballot in the federal city of Moscow in the 2026 Russian State Duma election.

The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received on the federal party-list ballot within the federal city of Moscow. If two or more parties are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.

Votes will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Votes attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If a named party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, votes officially attributed to that successor party will count.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that receives the second greatest number of votes on the federal party-list ballot in the federal city of Moscow in the 2026 Russian State Duma election. The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received on the federal party-list ballot within the federal city of Moscow. If two or more parties are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking. Votes will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Votes attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If a named party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, votes officially attributed to that successor party will count. If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
交易量
$9,871
结束日期
2026-09-20
市场开放时间
Sep 17, 2026, 1:36 PM ET

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常见问题

"俄罗斯大选:莫斯科政党排行榜第二?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 10 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"俄罗斯联邦共产党(KPRF)",概率为 73%,其次是"新人民党(NL)",概率为 25%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 73¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 73%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"俄罗斯大选:莫斯科政党排行榜第二?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Sep 17, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"俄罗斯大选:莫斯科政党排行榜第二?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 10 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"俄罗斯大选:莫斯科政党排行榜第二?"的当前领先者是"俄罗斯联邦共产党(KPRF)",概率为 73%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 73%。紧随其后的结果是"新人民党(NL)",概率为 25%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"俄罗斯大选:莫斯科政党排行榜第二?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。