KPRF leads market pricing for second place on Moscow's party-list vote in the ongoing 2026 State Duma election because independent and state polls through early September consistently placed it ahead of or tied with New People and LDPR among decided voters behind dominant United Russia, reflecting the party's established Moscow organization and appeal to protest voters. Yabloko's Supreme Court removal from the federal ballot in August consolidated potential anti-incumbent support among remaining systemic parties, boosting KPRF's relative position after earlier New People gains from internet-access criticism faded. LDPR and smaller lists trail due to weaker capital-specific polling and structures, while United Russia's expected first-place finish leaves little room for alternatives to challenge the implied probability reflected in trader consensus.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于俄罗斯联邦共产党(KPRF) 73%
新人民党(NL) 25%
俄罗斯自由民主党(LDPR) 4.2%
统一俄罗斯党(ER) 1.1%

俄罗斯联邦共产党(KPRF)
73%

新人民党(NL)
25%

俄罗斯自由民主党(LDPR)
4%

统一俄罗斯党(ER)
1%

祖国党
<1%

公正俄罗斯党(SR)
<1%

亚布洛科党
<1%

公民平台党(GP)
<1%

俄罗斯养老党
<1%

俄罗斯生态党“绿党”
<1%
俄罗斯联邦共产党(KPRF) 73%
新人民党(NL) 25%
俄罗斯自由民主党(LDPR) 4.2%
统一俄罗斯党(ER) 1.1%

俄罗斯联邦共产党(KPRF)
73%

新人民党(NL)
25%

俄罗斯自由民主党(LDPR)
4%

统一俄罗斯党(ER)
1%

祖国党
<1%

公正俄罗斯党(SR)
<1%

亚布洛科党
<1%

公民平台党(GP)
<1%

俄罗斯养老党
<1%

俄罗斯生态党“绿党”
<1%
This market will resolve according to the political party that receives the second greatest number of votes on the federal party-list ballot in the federal city of Moscow in the 2026 Russian State Duma election.
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received on the federal party-list ballot within the federal city of Moscow. If two or more parties are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
Votes will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Votes attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If a named party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, votes officially attributed to that successor party will count.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
市场开放时间: Sep 17, 2026, 1:36 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the political party that receives the second greatest number of votes on the federal party-list ballot in the federal city of Moscow in the 2026 Russian State Duma election.
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received on the federal party-list ballot within the federal city of Moscow. If two or more parties are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
Votes will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Votes attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If a named party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, votes officially attributed to that successor party will count.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
KPRF leads market pricing for second place on Moscow's party-list vote in the ongoing 2026 State Duma election because independent and state polls through early September consistently placed it ahead of or tied with New People and LDPR among decided voters behind dominant United Russia, reflecting the party's established Moscow organization and appeal to protest voters. Yabloko's Supreme Court removal from the federal ballot in August consolidated potential anti-incumbent support among remaining systemic parties, boosting KPRF's relative position after earlier New People gains from internet-access criticism faded. LDPR and smaller lists trail due to weaker capital-specific polling and structures, while United Russia's expected first-place finish leaves little room for alternatives to challenge the implied probability reflected in trader consensus.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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