United Russia holds a commanding position in the Moscow Oblast Duma election, scheduled for 18–20 September 2026 alongside Russia's national legislative vote, due to its incumbency with 36 of 50 seats from the prior cycle, organizational reach, and top ballot placement in many districts. The parallel voting system—half proportional representation with a 5% threshold and half single-member constituencies—favors established parties, while systemic opposition groups such as CPRF, LDPR, and A Just Russia trail far behind in trader pricing. Limited credible challengers, exclusion of non-systemic parties from key races, and the ruling party's alignment with regional leadership reinforce the consensus. Shifts could still arise from unusually low turnout, documented irregularities in vote counting, or late administrative changes, though historical patterns in similar regional contests show these rarely alter the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于United Russia 97.8%
New People 2.6%
Communists of Russia <1%
CPRF <1%
最新
最新
2026-09-20
United Russia
98%
New People
3%
Communists of Russia
1%
CPRF
<1%
A Just Russia
<1%
Party of Pensioners
<1%
Rodina
<1%
LDPR
<1%
Yabloko
<1%
The Greens
<1%
United Russia 97.8%
New People 2.6%
Communists of Russia <1%
CPRF <1%
最新
最新
2026-09-20
United Russia
$1,497 交易量
98%
New People
$912 交易量
3%
Communists of Russia
$332 交易量
1%
CPRF
$390 交易量
<1%
A Just Russia
$647 交易量
<1%
Party of Pensioners
$640 交易量
<1%
Rodina
$401 交易量
<1%
LDPR
$395 交易量
<1%
Yabloko
$415 交易量
<1%
The Greens
$526 交易量
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Moscow Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Moscow Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Moscow Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Moscow Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Moscow Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.United Russia holds a commanding position in the Moscow Oblast Duma election, scheduled for 18–20 September 2026 alongside Russia's national legislative vote, due to its incumbency with 36 of 50 seats from the prior cycle, organizational reach, and top ballot placement in many districts. The parallel voting system—half proportional representation with a 5% threshold and half single-member constituencies—favors established parties, while systemic opposition groups such as CPRF, LDPR, and A Just Russia trail far behind in trader pricing. Limited credible challengers, exclusion of non-systemic parties from key races, and the ruling party's alignment with regional leadership reinforce the consensus. Shifts could still arise from unusually low turnout, documented irregularities in vote counting, or late administrative changes, though historical patterns in similar regional contests show these rarely alter the outcome.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Moscow Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Moscow Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Moscow Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Moscow Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Moscow Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Moscow Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Moscow Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Moscow Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Moscow Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
市场开放时间： Jul 28, 2026, 12:14 PM ET
交易量
$6,156结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Jul 28, 2026, 12:14 PM ETParliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Moscow Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Moscow Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Moscow Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Moscow Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Moscow Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.United Russia holds a commanding position in the Moscow Oblast Duma election, scheduled for 18–20 September 2026 alongside Russia's national legislative vote, due to its incumbency with 36 of 50 seats from the prior cycle, organizational reach, and top ballot placement in many districts. The parallel voting system—half proportional representation with a 5% threshold and half single-member constituencies—favors established parties, while systemic opposition groups such as CPRF, LDPR, and A Just Russia trail far behind in trader pricing. Limited credible challengers, exclusion of non-systemic parties from key races, and the ruling party's alignment with regional leadership reinforce the consensus. Shifts could still arise from unusually low turnout, documented irregularities in vote counting, or late administrative changes, though historical patterns in similar regional contests show these rarely alter the outcome.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Moscow Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Moscow Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Moscow Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Moscow Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Moscow Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Moscow Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Moscow Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Moscow Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Moscow Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
交易量
$6,156结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Jul 28, 2026, 12:14 PM ETUnited Russia holds a commanding position in the Moscow Oblast Duma election, scheduled for 18–20 September 2026 alongside Russia's national legislative vote, due to its incumbency with 36 of 50 seats from the prior cycle, organizational reach, and top ballot placement in many districts. The parallel voting system—half proportional representation with a 5% threshold and half single-member constituencies—favors established parties, while systemic opposition groups such as CPRF, LDPR, and A Just Russia trail far behind in trader pricing. Limited credible challengers, exclusion of non-systemic parties from key races, and the ruling party's alignment with regional leadership reinforce the consensus. Shifts could still arise from unusually low turnout, documented irregularities in vote counting, or late administrative changes, though historical patterns in similar regional contests show these rarely alter the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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