United Russia maintains a commanding lead in the Murmansk Oblast Duma election market due to its entrenched position as the ruling party, backed by regional governor Andrey Chibis as party secretary and extensive candidate nominations across the mixed electoral system of party-list proportional representation and single-member districts. The election, set for September 18–20, 2026, alongside national parliamentary voting, occurs in a tightly managed political environment where systemic parties face structural barriers and limited independent competition. Historical results show United Russia securing legislative majorities despite modest party-list shares, while opposition groups such as CPRF and LDPR trail significantly in recent polling and prior cycles. Trader consensus prices reflect these institutional advantages and the absence of major disruptive developments in the final weeks before voting. Late shifts could arise from turnout anomalies or localized administrative issues, though such outcomes remain uncommon in this setting.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于United Russia 97.0%
CPRF 1.6%
New People 1.3%
Party of Pensioners <1%
最新
最新
2026-09-20
United Russia
97%
CPRF
2%
New People
1%
Party of Pensioners
<1%
LDPR
<1%
A Just Russia
<1%
United Russia 97.0%
CPRF 1.6%
New People 1.3%
Party of Pensioners <1%
最新
最新
2026-09-20
United Russia
$5,754 交易量
97%
CPRF
$487 交易量
2%
New People
$243 交易量
1%
Party of Pensioners
$246 交易量
<1%
LDPR
$232 交易量
<1%
A Just Russia
$435 交易量
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Murmansk Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Murmansk Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Murmansk Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Murmansk Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Murmansk Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.United Russia maintains a commanding lead in the Murmansk Oblast Duma election market due to its entrenched position as the ruling party, backed by regional governor Andrey Chibis as party secretary and extensive candidate nominations across the mixed electoral system of party-list proportional representation and single-member districts. The election, set for September 18–20, 2026, alongside national parliamentary voting, occurs in a tightly managed political environment where systemic parties face structural barriers and limited independent competition. Historical results show United Russia securing legislative majorities despite modest party-list shares, while opposition groups such as CPRF and LDPR trail significantly in recent polling and prior cycles. Trader consensus prices reflect these institutional advantages and the absence of major disruptive developments in the final weeks before voting. Late shifts could arise from turnout anomalies or localized administrative issues, though such outcomes remain uncommon in this setting.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Murmansk Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Murmansk Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Murmansk Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Murmansk Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Murmansk Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Murmansk Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Murmansk Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Murmansk Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Murmansk Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
市场开放时间： Jul 28, 2026, 12:20 PM ET
交易量
$7,396结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Jul 28, 2026, 12:20 PM ETParliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Murmansk Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Murmansk Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Murmansk Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Murmansk Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Murmansk Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.United Russia maintains a commanding lead in the Murmansk Oblast Duma election market due to its entrenched position as the ruling party, backed by regional governor Andrey Chibis as party secretary and extensive candidate nominations across the mixed electoral system of party-list proportional representation and single-member districts. The election, set for September 18–20, 2026, alongside national parliamentary voting, occurs in a tightly managed political environment where systemic parties face structural barriers and limited independent competition. Historical results show United Russia securing legislative majorities despite modest party-list shares, while opposition groups such as CPRF and LDPR trail significantly in recent polling and prior cycles. Trader consensus prices reflect these institutional advantages and the absence of major disruptive developments in the final weeks before voting. Late shifts could arise from turnout anomalies or localized administrative issues, though such outcomes remain uncommon in this setting.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Murmansk Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Murmansk Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Murmansk Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Murmansk Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Murmansk Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Murmansk Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Murmansk Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Murmansk Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Murmansk Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
交易量
$7,396结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Jul 28, 2026, 12:20 PM ETUnited Russia maintains a commanding lead in the Murmansk Oblast Duma election market due to its entrenched position as the ruling party, backed by regional governor Andrey Chibis as party secretary and extensive candidate nominations across the mixed electoral system of party-list proportional representation and single-member districts. The election, set for September 18–20, 2026, alongside national parliamentary voting, occurs in a tightly managed political environment where systemic parties face structural barriers and limited independent competition. Historical results show United Russia securing legislative majorities despite modest party-list shares, while opposition groups such as CPRF and LDPR trail significantly in recent polling and prior cycles. Trader consensus prices reflect these institutional advantages and the absence of major disruptive developments in the final weeks before voting. Late shifts could arise from turnout anomalies or localized administrative issues, though such outcomes remain uncommon in this setting.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题