United Russia maintains a commanding position in the Novgorod Oblast Duma election scheduled for 18–20 September 2026, reflecting its status as the incumbent party holding 23 of 32 seats from the prior cycle and consistent dominance in Russia's mixed electoral system of party-list proportional representation and single-member districts. The ruling party's organizational strength, alignment with federal authorities, and access to administrative resources have historically translated into large majorities across regional legislatures. Opposition parties including A Just Russia, CPRF, LDPR, New People, and Yabloko face lower registration thresholds and resource constraints that limit their competitiveness. Trader consensus at 99.2% for United Russia incorporates these structural factors, though late developments such as shifts in turnout or candidate disqualifications could still influence final seat distribution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于United Russia 99.3%
Yabloko <1%
A Just Russia <1%
Rodina <1%
$10,230 交易量
$10,230 交易量
2026-09-20
United Russia
99%
Yabloko
<1%
A Just Russia
<1%
Rodina
<1%
CPRF
<1%
New People
<1%
Communists of Russia
<1%
Party of Pensioners
<1%
LDPR
<1%
United Russia 99.3%
Yabloko <1%
A Just Russia <1%
Rodina <1%
$10,230 交易量
$10,230 交易量
2026-09-20
United Russia
$4,083 交易量
99%
Yabloko
$1,181 交易量
<1%
A Just Russia
$899 交易量
<1%
Rodina
$661 交易量
<1%
CPRF
$673 交易量
<1%
New People
$737 交易量
<1%
Communists of Russia
$731 交易量
<1%
Party of Pensioners
$722 交易量
<1%
LDPR
$543 交易量
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Novgorod Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Novgorod Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Novgorod Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Novgorod Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Novgorod Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.United Russia maintains a commanding position in the Novgorod Oblast Duma election scheduled for 18–20 September 2026, reflecting its status as the incumbent party holding 23 of 32 seats from the prior cycle and consistent dominance in Russia's mixed electoral system of party-list proportional representation and single-member districts. The ruling party's organizational strength, alignment with federal authorities, and access to administrative resources have historically translated into large majorities across regional legislatures. Opposition parties including A Just Russia, CPRF, LDPR, New People, and Yabloko face lower registration thresholds and resource constraints that limit their competitiveness. Trader consensus at 99.2% for United Russia incorporates these structural factors, though late developments such as shifts in turnout or candidate disqualifications could still influence final seat distribution.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Novgorod Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Novgorod Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Novgorod Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Novgorod Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Novgorod Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Novgorod Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Novgorod Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Novgorod Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Novgorod Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
市场开放时间： Jul 28, 2026, 12:10 PM ET
交易量
$10,230结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Jul 28, 2026, 12:10 PM ETParliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Novgorod Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Novgorod Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Novgorod Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Novgorod Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Novgorod Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.United Russia maintains a commanding position in the Novgorod Oblast Duma election scheduled for 18–20 September 2026, reflecting its status as the incumbent party holding 23 of 32 seats from the prior cycle and consistent dominance in Russia's mixed electoral system of party-list proportional representation and single-member districts. The ruling party's organizational strength, alignment with federal authorities, and access to administrative resources have historically translated into large majorities across regional legislatures. Opposition parties including A Just Russia, CPRF, LDPR, New People, and Yabloko face lower registration thresholds and resource constraints that limit their competitiveness. Trader consensus at 99.2% for United Russia incorporates these structural factors, though late developments such as shifts in turnout or candidate disqualifications could still influence final seat distribution.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Novgorod Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Novgorod Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Novgorod Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Novgorod Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Novgorod Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Novgorod Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Novgorod Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Novgorod Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Novgorod Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
交易量
$10,230结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Jul 28, 2026, 12:10 PM ETUnited Russia maintains a commanding position in the Novgorod Oblast Duma election scheduled for 18–20 September 2026, reflecting its status as the incumbent party holding 23 of 32 seats from the prior cycle and consistent dominance in Russia's mixed electoral system of party-list proportional representation and single-member districts. The ruling party's organizational strength, alignment with federal authorities, and access to administrative resources have historically translated into large majorities across regional legislatures. Opposition parties including A Just Russia, CPRF, LDPR, New People, and Yabloko face lower registration thresholds and resource constraints that limit their competitiveness. Trader consensus at 99.2% for United Russia incorporates these structural factors, though late developments such as shifts in turnout or candidate disqualifications could still influence final seat distribution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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