Recent opinion polls ahead of Sweden’s September 13, 2026, parliamentary election show the Social Democratic Party maintaining a clear lead, followed by the Sweden Democrats in second place, with the Moderate Party consistently positioned third. This ordering has remained stable through mid-2026 surveys from Novus, SCB, and others, reflecting voter preferences on issues including crime, immigration, and the economy amid the incumbent Tidö-supported government. The Moderates’ polling share near 17 percent places them ahead of smaller parties such as the Left, Greens, and Centre, supporting trader consensus on a third-place finish. Limited movement in recent months and the absence of major late-campaign shifts have kept probabilities anchored to these trends.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Moderate Party (M) 83%
Sweden Democrats (SD) 16%
Green Party (MP) 2.1%
Centre Party (C) 1.5%
$24,233 交易量
$24,233 交易量

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
<1%

Sweden Democrats (SD)
16%

Moderate Party (M)
83%

Centre Party (C)
2%

Left Party (V)
<1%

Christian Democrats (KD)
<1%

Green Party (MP)
2%

Liberals (L)
<1%

Citizens' Coalition (MED)
<1%
Moderate Party (M) 83%
Sweden Democrats (SD) 16%
Green Party (MP) 2.1%
Centre Party (C) 1.5%
$24,233 交易量
$24,233 交易量

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
<1%

Sweden Democrats (SD)
16%

Moderate Party (M)
83%

Centre Party (C)
2%

Left Party (V)
<1%

Christian Democrats (KD)
<1%

Green Party (MP)
2%

Liberals (L)
<1%

Citizens' Coalition (MED)
<1%
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
市场开放时间: May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent opinion polls ahead of Sweden’s September 13, 2026, parliamentary election show the Social Democratic Party maintaining a clear lead, followed by the Sweden Democrats in second place, with the Moderate Party consistently positioned third. This ordering has remained stable through mid-2026 surveys from Novus, SCB, and others, reflecting voter preferences on issues including crime, immigration, and the economy amid the incumbent Tidö-supported government. The Moderates’ polling share near 17 percent places them ahead of smaller parties such as the Left, Greens, and Centre, supporting trader consensus on a third-place finish. Limited movement in recent months and the absence of major late-campaign shifts have kept probabilities anchored to these trends.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

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