Recent opinion polls from multiple Swedish firms, including SCB, Ipsos, Demoskop, and Indikator Opinion through late May 2026, show the Tidö parties (Moderates, Christian Democrats, Liberals, and Sweden Democrats) collectively at roughly 43-46% support. This falls short of the approximately 50% needed for a Riksdag majority of 175 seats out of 349. The Social Democrats lead with 32-34%, anchoring a stronger centre-left bloc. Voter concerns over the economy, living costs, and security have contributed to the incumbent coalition's lag behind its narrower 2022 result. A March 2026 pact between the Liberals and Sweden Democrats to potentially include the latter in cabinet has not shifted these trends. With the September 13 election approaching, these persistent polling patterns underpin traders' strong consensus against a Tidö majority.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
最新
最新
2026-09-14
是
最新
最新
2026-09-14
In October 2022, the Swedish political parties Sweden Democrats (SD), Moderate Party (M), Christian Democrats (KD), and Liberals (L) signed the Tidö Agreement (Tidöavtalet) to form a government after the 2022 Swedish parliamentary elections.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the member parties of the Tidö Agreement (SD, M, KD, and L) win a combined total of 175 seats or more in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If voting in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named parties in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag).
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent opinion polls from multiple Swedish firms, including SCB, Ipsos, Demoskop, and Indikator Opinion through late May 2026, show the Tidö parties (Moderates, Christian Democrats, Liberals, and Sweden Democrats) collectively at roughly 43-46% support. This falls short of the approximately 50% needed for a Riksdag majority of 175 seats out of 349. The Social Democrats lead with 32-34%, anchoring a stronger centre-left bloc. Voter concerns over the economy, living costs, and security have contributed to the incumbent coalition's lag behind its narrower 2022 result. A March 2026 pact between the Liberals and Sweden Democrats to potentially include the latter in cabinet has not shifted these trends. With the September 13 election approaching, these persistent polling patterns underpin traders' strong consensus against a Tidö majority.
In October 2022, the Swedish political parties Sweden Democrats (SD), Moderate Party (M), Christian Democrats (KD), and Liberals (L) signed the Tidö Agreement (Tidöavtalet) to form a government after the 2022 Swedish parliamentary elections.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the member parties of the Tidö Agreement (SD, M, KD, and L) win a combined total of 175 seats or more in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If voting in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named parties in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag).
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the member parties of the Tidö Agreement (SD, M, KD, and L) win a combined total of 175 seats or more in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If voting in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named parties in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag).
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
市场开放时间： Jun 4, 2026, 10:14 AM ET
交易量
$821结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Jun 4, 2026, 10:14 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...In October 2022, the Swedish political parties Sweden Democrats (SD), Moderate Party (M), Christian Democrats (KD), and Liberals (L) signed the Tidö Agreement (Tidöavtalet) to form a government after the 2022 Swedish parliamentary elections.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the member parties of the Tidö Agreement (SD, M, KD, and L) win a combined total of 175 seats or more in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If voting in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named parties in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag).
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent opinion polls from multiple Swedish firms, including SCB, Ipsos, Demoskop, and Indikator Opinion through late May 2026, show the Tidö parties (Moderates, Christian Democrats, Liberals, and Sweden Democrats) collectively at roughly 43-46% support. This falls short of the approximately 50% needed for a Riksdag majority of 175 seats out of 349. The Social Democrats lead with 32-34%, anchoring a stronger centre-left bloc. Voter concerns over the economy, living costs, and security have contributed to the incumbent coalition's lag behind its narrower 2022 result. A March 2026 pact between the Liberals and Sweden Democrats to potentially include the latter in cabinet has not shifted these trends. With the September 13 election approaching, these persistent polling patterns underpin traders' strong consensus against a Tidö majority.
In October 2022, the Swedish political parties Sweden Democrats (SD), Moderate Party (M), Christian Democrats (KD), and Liberals (L) signed the Tidö Agreement (Tidöavtalet) to form a government after the 2022 Swedish parliamentary elections.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the member parties of the Tidö Agreement (SD, M, KD, and L) win a combined total of 175 seats or more in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If voting in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named parties in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag).
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the member parties of the Tidö Agreement (SD, M, KD, and L) win a combined total of 175 seats or more in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If voting in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named parties in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag).
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
交易量
$821结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Jun 4, 2026, 10:14 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent opinion polls from multiple Swedish firms, including SCB, Ipsos, Demoskop, and Indikator Opinion through late May 2026, show the Tidö parties (Moderates, Christian Democrats, Liberals, and Sweden Democrats) collectively at roughly 43-46% support. This falls short of the approximately 50% needed for a Riksdag majority of 175 seats out of 349. The Social Democrats lead with 32-34%, anchoring a stronger centre-left bloc. Voter concerns over the economy, living costs, and security have contributed to the incumbent coalition's lag behind its narrower 2022 result. A March 2026 pact between the Liberals and Sweden Democrats to potentially include the latter in cabinet has not shifted these trends. With the September 13 election approaching, these persistent polling patterns underpin traders' strong consensus against a Tidö majority.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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