**Robert Kenyon of Reform UK leads the market for second place at 74.5%, well ahead of Labour’s Andy Burnham on 22.4% and minor candidates below 4%.** The constituency’s 2024 general election result established Reform as the clear runner-up behind Labour, and recent named-candidate polls continue to show a tight two-horse race between Burnham and Kenyon. Burnham’s personal profile as Greater Manchester Mayor and former local MP has narrowed Reform’s underlying advantage on generic voting intention, positioning him as the narrow favourite to win and therefore leaving Kenyon as the strong consensus choice for second. Minor-party candidates, including Rebecca Shepherd of Restore Britain and others, register low single digits and show no signs of mounting a serious challenge that could displace either major contender. With polling day four days away on 18 June 2026, the market reflects trader assessment that the contest will remain a Labour–Reform duel in which the loser finishes second.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Robert Kenyon 75%
Andy Burnham 22.3%
Rebecca Shepherd 4.0%
John Skipworth <1%
$116,874 交易量
$116,874 交易量
2026-06-18
Robert Kenyon
75%
Andy Burnham
22%
Rebecca Shepherd
4%
John Skipworth
<1%
Maria Deery
<1%
Simon Finkelstein
<1%
James Thomas Bryer
<1%
Robert Kenyon 75%
Andy Burnham 22.3%
Rebecca Shepherd 4.0%
John Skipworth <1%
$116,874 交易量
$116,874 交易量
2026-06-18
Robert Kenyon
$5,494 交易量
75%
Andy Burnham
$4,221 交易量
22%
Rebecca Shepherd
$102,625 交易量
4%
John Skipworth
$1,215 交易量
<1%
Maria Deery
$788 交易量
<1%
Simon Finkelstein
$1,374 交易量
<1%
James Thomas Bryer
$1,158 交易量
<1%
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).**Robert Kenyon of Reform UK leads the market for second place at 74.5%, well ahead of Labour’s Andy Burnham on 22.4% and minor candidates below 4%.**
The constituency’s 2024 general election result established Reform as the clear runner-up behind Labour, and recent named-candidate polls continue to show a tight two-horse race between Burnham and Kenyon. Burnham’s personal profile as Greater Manchester Mayor and former local MP has narrowed Reform’s underlying advantage on generic voting intention, positioning him as the narrow favourite to win and therefore leaving Kenyon as the strong consensus choice for second. Minor-party candidates, including Rebecca Shepherd of Restore Britain and others, register low single digits and show no signs of mounting a serious challenge that could displace either major contender. With polling day four days away on 18 June 2026, the market reflects trader assessment that the contest will remain a Labour–Reform duel in which the loser finishes second.
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
市场开放时间： May 21, 2026, 1:42 PM ET
交易量
$116,874结束日期
2026-06-18市场开放时间
May 21, 2026, 1:42 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).**Robert Kenyon of Reform UK leads the market for second place at 74.5%, well ahead of Labour’s Andy Burnham on 22.4% and minor candidates below 4%.**
The constituency’s 2024 general election result established Reform as the clear runner-up behind Labour, and recent named-candidate polls continue to show a tight two-horse race between Burnham and Kenyon. Burnham’s personal profile as Greater Manchester Mayor and former local MP has narrowed Reform’s underlying advantage on generic voting intention, positioning him as the narrow favourite to win and therefore leaving Kenyon as the strong consensus choice for second. Minor-party candidates, including Rebecca Shepherd of Restore Britain and others, register low single digits and show no signs of mounting a serious challenge that could displace either major contender. With polling day four days away on 18 June 2026, the market reflects trader assessment that the contest will remain a Labour–Reform duel in which the loser finishes second.
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
交易量
$116,874结束日期
2026-06-18市场开放时间
May 21, 2026, 1:42 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Robert Kenyon of Reform UK leads the market for second place at 74.5%, well ahead of Labour’s Andy Burnham on 22.4% and minor candidates below 4%.** The constituency’s 2024 general election result established Reform as the clear runner-up behind Labour, and recent named-candidate polls continue to show a tight two-horse race between Burnham and Kenyon. Burnham’s personal profile as Greater Manchester Mayor and former local MP has narrowed Reform’s underlying advantage on generic voting intention, positioning him as the narrow favourite to win and therefore leaving Kenyon as the strong consensus choice for second. Minor-party candidates, including Rebecca Shepherd of Restore Britain and others, register low single digits and show no signs of mounting a serious challenge that could displace either major contender. With polling day four days away on 18 June 2026, the market reflects trader assessment that the contest will remain a Labour–Reform duel in which the loser finishes second.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题