Recent poor results in local elections have heightened internal pressure on Keir Starmer, prompting widespread speculation of an imminent Labour leadership contest. Former health secretary Wes Streeting resigned from the cabinet this week, citing a lack of vision under the current leader, while former deputy prime minister Angela Rayner resolved a tax issue and left open the possibility of a bid. Greater Manchester mayor Andy Burnham has moved to secure a parliamentary seat through an upcoming by-election, a prerequisite for any leadership run. These developments, combined with MP nominations required to trigger a formal vote decided by party members, are the primary drivers shaping trader assessments of frontrunners in the next contest.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$14,788 交易量
2026-12-31
Keir Starmer
48%
Wes Streeting
72%
Ed Miliband
13%
Angela Rayner
46%
Al Carns
49%
Andy Burnham
71%
$14,788 交易量
Keir Starmer
$6,539 交易量
48%
Wes Streeting
$3,379 交易量
72%
Ed Miliband
$172 交易量
13%
Angela Rayner
$509 交易量
46%
Al Carns
$1,298 交易量
49%
Andy Burnham
$2,892 交易量
71%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is an official candidate in the next United Kingdom Labour Party leadership election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Official candidate” refers to the listed individual satisfying all applicable requirements and being officially confirmed by the Labour Party, or a consensus of credible reporting, as a candidate on the ballot for the next Labour Party leadership election. Seeking nominations, announcing an intention to run, or being reported as a potential candidate will not qualify unless the individual is officially confirmed as a candidate on the ballot.
If a Labour Party leadership election occurs, or the final candidates are confirmed, and the listed individual is not included as a candidate, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such election is scheduled, or the listed individual is not officially confirmed as a candidate, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed individual becomes the next leader of the Labour Party without any competitive ballot election, that will suffice for a “Yes” resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Kingdom Labour Party; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent poor results in local elections have heightened internal pressure on Keir Starmer, prompting widespread speculation of an imminent Labour leadership contest. Former health secretary Wes Streeting resigned from the cabinet this week, citing a lack of vision under the current leader, while former deputy prime minister Angela Rayner resolved a tax issue and left open the possibility of a bid. Greater Manchester mayor Andy Burnham has moved to secure a parliamentary seat through an upcoming by-election, a prerequisite for any leadership run. These developments, combined with MP nominations required to trigger a formal vote decided by party members, are the primary drivers shaping trader assessments of frontrunners in the next contest.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is an official candidate in the next United Kingdom Labour Party leadership election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Official candidate” refers to the listed individual satisfying all applicable requirements and being officially confirmed by the Labour Party, or a consensus of credible reporting, as a candidate on the ballot for the next Labour Party leadership election. Seeking nominations, announcing an intention to run, or being reported as a potential candidate will not qualify unless the individual is officially confirmed as a candidate on the ballot.
If a Labour Party leadership election occurs, or the final candidates are confirmed, and the listed individual is not included as a candidate, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such election is scheduled, or the listed individual is not officially confirmed as a candidate, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed individual becomes the next leader of the Labour Party without any competitive ballot election, that will suffice for a “Yes” resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Kingdom Labour Party; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
“Official candidate” refers to the listed individual satisfying all applicable requirements and being officially confirmed by the Labour Party, or a consensus of credible reporting, as a candidate on the ballot for the next Labour Party leadership election. Seeking nominations, announcing an intention to run, or being reported as a potential candidate will not qualify unless the individual is officially confirmed as a candidate on the ballot.
If a Labour Party leadership election occurs, or the final candidates are confirmed, and the listed individual is not included as a candidate, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such election is scheduled, or the listed individual is not officially confirmed as a candidate, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed individual becomes the next leader of the Labour Party without any competitive ballot election, that will suffice for a “Yes” resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Kingdom Labour Party; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： May 13, 2026, 2:50 PM ET
交易量
$14,788结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
May 13, 2026, 2:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is an official candidate in the next United Kingdom Labour Party leadership election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Official candidate” refers to the listed individual satisfying all applicable requirements and being officially confirmed by the Labour Party, or a consensus of credible reporting, as a candidate on the ballot for the next Labour Party leadership election. Seeking nominations, announcing an intention to run, or being reported as a potential candidate will not qualify unless the individual is officially confirmed as a candidate on the ballot.
If a Labour Party leadership election occurs, or the final candidates are confirmed, and the listed individual is not included as a candidate, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such election is scheduled, or the listed individual is not officially confirmed as a candidate, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed individual becomes the next leader of the Labour Party without any competitive ballot election, that will suffice for a “Yes” resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Kingdom Labour Party; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent poor results in local elections have heightened internal pressure on Keir Starmer, prompting widespread speculation of an imminent Labour leadership contest. Former health secretary Wes Streeting resigned from the cabinet this week, citing a lack of vision under the current leader, while former deputy prime minister Angela Rayner resolved a tax issue and left open the possibility of a bid. Greater Manchester mayor Andy Burnham has moved to secure a parliamentary seat through an upcoming by-election, a prerequisite for any leadership run. These developments, combined with MP nominations required to trigger a formal vote decided by party members, are the primary drivers shaping trader assessments of frontrunners in the next contest.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is an official candidate in the next United Kingdom Labour Party leadership election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Official candidate” refers to the listed individual satisfying all applicable requirements and being officially confirmed by the Labour Party, or a consensus of credible reporting, as a candidate on the ballot for the next Labour Party leadership election. Seeking nominations, announcing an intention to run, or being reported as a potential candidate will not qualify unless the individual is officially confirmed as a candidate on the ballot.
If a Labour Party leadership election occurs, or the final candidates are confirmed, and the listed individual is not included as a candidate, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such election is scheduled, or the listed individual is not officially confirmed as a candidate, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed individual becomes the next leader of the Labour Party without any competitive ballot election, that will suffice for a “Yes” resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Kingdom Labour Party; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
“Official candidate” refers to the listed individual satisfying all applicable requirements and being officially confirmed by the Labour Party, or a consensus of credible reporting, as a candidate on the ballot for the next Labour Party leadership election. Seeking nominations, announcing an intention to run, or being reported as a potential candidate will not qualify unless the individual is officially confirmed as a candidate on the ballot.
If a Labour Party leadership election occurs, or the final candidates are confirmed, and the listed individual is not included as a candidate, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such election is scheduled, or the listed individual is not officially confirmed as a candidate, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed individual becomes the next leader of the Labour Party without any competitive ballot election, that will suffice for a “Yes” resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Kingdom Labour Party; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$14,788结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
May 13, 2026, 2:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent poor results in local elections have heightened internal pressure on Keir Starmer, prompting widespread speculation of an imminent Labour leadership contest. Former health secretary Wes Streeting resigned from the cabinet this week, citing a lack of vision under the current leader, while former deputy prime minister Angela Rayner resolved a tax issue and left open the possibility of a bid. Greater Manchester mayor Andy Burnham has moved to secure a parliamentary seat through an upcoming by-election, a prerequisite for any leadership run. These developments, combined with MP nominations required to trigger a formal vote decided by party members, are the primary drivers shaping trader assessments of frontrunners in the next contest.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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