Recent cabinet instability under Keir Starmer, including the September 2025 reshuffle that moved David Lammy to Deputy Prime Minister and installed Yvette Cooper as Foreign Secretary, followed by further May-June 2026 adjustments amid resignations and a Labour leadership crisis, has left trader sentiment evenly split across numerous senior Labour figures. With no dominant frontrunner emerging and "no change in 2026" also priced near 45 percent, the market reflects uncertainty over whether additional reshuffles will occur before year-end, the broad bench of eligible cabinet ministers and MPs, and procedural factors like prime ministerial discretion in appointments. Scheduled parliamentary sessions and any further ministerial departures could quickly shift implied probabilities among the listed contenders.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于2026年没有下一任外交大臣 26%
韦斯·斯特里廷 22%
丽莎·南迪 15%
约翰·希利 10%
最新
最新
2026-12-31
2026年没有下一任外交大臣
26%
韦斯·斯特里廷
22%
丽莎·南迪
15%
约翰·希利
10%
帕特·麦克法登
7%
大卫·拉米
4%
沙巴娜·马哈穆德
4%
希拉里·本
3%
雷切尔·里夫斯
3%
达伦·琼斯
2%
2026年没有下一任外交大臣 26%
韦斯·斯特里廷 22%
丽莎·南迪 15%
约翰·希利 10%
最新
最新
2026-12-31
2026年没有下一任外交大臣
$670 交易量
26%
韦斯·斯特里廷
$1,289 交易量
22%
丽莎·南迪
$374 交易量
15%
约翰·希利
$214 交易量
10%
帕特·麦克法登
$164 交易量
7%
大卫·拉米
$164 交易量
4%
沙巴娜·马哈穆德
$184 交易量
4%
希拉里·本
$217 交易量
3%
雷切尔·里夫斯
$221 交易量
3%
达伦·琼斯
$2,580 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the individual who is officially appointed as the next Foreign Secretary of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Foreign Secretary will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Foreign Secretary is appointed, or Yvette Cooper is re-appointed as Foreign Secretary, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No next Foreign Secretary in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent cabinet instability under Keir Starmer, including the September 2025 reshuffle that moved David Lammy to Deputy Prime Minister and installed Yvette Cooper as Foreign Secretary, followed by further May-June 2026 adjustments amid resignations and a Labour leadership crisis, has left trader sentiment evenly split across numerous senior Labour figures. With no dominant frontrunner emerging and "no change in 2026" also priced near 45 percent, the market reflects uncertainty over whether additional reshuffles will occur before year-end, the broad bench of eligible cabinet ministers and MPs, and procedural factors like prime ministerial discretion in appointments. Scheduled parliamentary sessions and any further ministerial departures could quickly shift implied probabilities among the listed contenders.
This market will resolve to the individual who is officially appointed as the next Foreign Secretary of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Foreign Secretary will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Foreign Secretary is appointed, or Yvette Cooper is re-appointed as Foreign Secretary, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No next Foreign Secretary in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Foreign Secretary will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Foreign Secretary is appointed, or Yvette Cooper is re-appointed as Foreign Secretary, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No next Foreign Secretary in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jun 22, 2026, 9:44 PM ET
交易量
$6,079结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jun 22, 2026, 9:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the individual who is officially appointed as the next Foreign Secretary of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Foreign Secretary will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Foreign Secretary is appointed, or Yvette Cooper is re-appointed as Foreign Secretary, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No next Foreign Secretary in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent cabinet instability under Keir Starmer, including the September 2025 reshuffle that moved David Lammy to Deputy Prime Minister and installed Yvette Cooper as Foreign Secretary, followed by further May-June 2026 adjustments amid resignations and a Labour leadership crisis, has left trader sentiment evenly split across numerous senior Labour figures. With no dominant frontrunner emerging and "no change in 2026" also priced near 45 percent, the market reflects uncertainty over whether additional reshuffles will occur before year-end, the broad bench of eligible cabinet ministers and MPs, and procedural factors like prime ministerial discretion in appointments. Scheduled parliamentary sessions and any further ministerial departures could quickly shift implied probabilities among the listed contenders.
This market will resolve to the individual who is officially appointed as the next Foreign Secretary of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Foreign Secretary will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Foreign Secretary is appointed, or Yvette Cooper is re-appointed as Foreign Secretary, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No next Foreign Secretary in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Foreign Secretary will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Foreign Secretary is appointed, or Yvette Cooper is re-appointed as Foreign Secretary, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No next Foreign Secretary in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$6,079结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jun 22, 2026, 9:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent cabinet instability under Keir Starmer, including the September 2025 reshuffle that moved David Lammy to Deputy Prime Minister and installed Yvette Cooper as Foreign Secretary, followed by further May-June 2026 adjustments amid resignations and a Labour leadership crisis, has left trader sentiment evenly split across numerous senior Labour figures. With no dominant frontrunner emerging and "no change in 2026" also priced near 45 percent, the market reflects uncertainty over whether additional reshuffles will occur before year-end, the broad bench of eligible cabinet ministers and MPs, and procedural factors like prime ministerial discretion in appointments. Scheduled parliamentary sessions and any further ministerial departures could quickly shift implied probabilities among the listed contenders.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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