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icon for No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?

No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?

icon for No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?

No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?

12% 概率
Polymarket

$18,020 交易量

12% 概率
Polymarket

$18,020 交易量

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a motion of no-confidence against the sitting government is voted upon in the House of Commons of the United Kingdom by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on whether a motion of no confidence is voted upon in the specified timeframe. Whether the motion is passed will not affect this market’s resolution. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom and a consensus of credible reporting. The substantial Labour majority in the House of Commons continues to shield Prime Minister Keir Starmer from any realistic prospect of a successful no-confidence defeat in the near term. Recent local election setbacks and public calls for his resignation from around eighty Labour MPs have triggered internal party friction, yet no unified challenger has emerged to trigger a formal leadership contest under party rules. Opposition parties including the SNP have signaled plans to table a motion via amendment to the King's Speech, but passage would require dozens of Labour defections that remain absent. Starmer has reaffirmed his commitment to a multi-year agenda, and procedural timelines make a decisive vote unlikely before June 30 absent further escalation.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a motion of no-confidence against the sitting government is voted upon in the House of Commons of the United Kingdom by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on whether a motion of no confidence is voted upon in the specified timeframe. Whether the motion is passed will not affect this market’s resolution.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom and a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$18,020
结束日期
2026-06-30
市场开放时间
Apr 21, 2026, 2:48 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a motion of no-confidence against the sitting government is voted upon in the House of Commons of the United Kingdom by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on whether a motion of no confidence is voted upon in the specified timeframe. Whether the motion is passed will not affect this market’s resolution. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a motion of no-confidence against the sitting government is voted upon in the House of Commons of the United Kingdom by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on whether a motion of no confidence is voted upon in the specified timeframe. Whether the motion is passed will not affect this market’s resolution. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom and a consensus of credible reporting. The substantial Labour majority in the House of Commons continues to shield Prime Minister Keir Starmer from any realistic prospect of a successful no-confidence defeat in the near term. Recent local election setbacks and public calls for his resignation from around eighty Labour MPs have triggered internal party friction, yet no unified challenger has emerged to trigger a formal leadership contest under party rules. Opposition parties including the SNP have signaled plans to table a motion via amendment to the King's Speech, but passage would require dozens of Labour defections that remain absent. Starmer has reaffirmed his commitment to a multi-year agenda, and procedural timelines make a decisive vote unlikely before June 30 absent further escalation.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a motion of no-confidence against the sitting government is voted upon in the House of Commons of the United Kingdom by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on whether a motion of no confidence is voted upon in the specified timeframe. Whether the motion is passed will not affect this market’s resolution.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom and a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$18,020
结束日期
2026-06-30
市场开放时间
Apr 21, 2026, 2:48 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a motion of no-confidence against the sitting government is voted upon in the House of Commons of the United Kingdom by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on whether a motion of no confidence is voted upon in the specified timeframe. Whether the motion is passed will not affect this market’s resolution. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom and a consensus of credible reporting.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?"是 Polymarket 上的一个预测市场,交易者根据自己对事件是否会发生的判断买卖"是"或"否"的份额。当前社区预测的概率为 12%("Yes")。例如,如果"是"的价格为 12¢,则市场集体认为该事件发生的概率为 12%。这些赔率会随着交易者对新动态和信息的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?"已产生 $18K 的总交易量(自Apr 21, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?"上交易,只需选择你认为答案是"是"还是"否"。每一方都有一个反映市场隐含概率的当前价格。输入你的金额并点击"交易"。如果你买入"是"的份额且结果为"是",每份支付 $1。如果结果为"否",你的"是"份额支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额以锁定利润或止损。

"No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?"的当前概率为 12%("Yes")。这意味着 Polymarket 社区目前认为该事件发生的概率为 12%。这些赔率基于实际交易实时更新,持续提供市场预期信号。

"No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。