President Trump's schedule for early July 2026 features several high-profile events, including a July 3 visit to Mount Rushmore for the 250th anniversary, July 4 celebrations in Washington, and travel to the NATO summit in Ankara on July 7-8. These commitments introduce uncertainty around his typical high-volume Truth Social activity, which has averaged around 18 posts daily in prior periods but spikes significantly during active news cycles or domestic-focused stretches. The tightly clustered market probabilities across volume buckets reflect trader assessments of how travel logistics, official duties, and any concurrent developments might moderate or sustain his posting pace, with outcomes hinging on the intensity of real-time reactions and event-driven commentary.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于60-79 44%
80-99 44%
180-199 44%
200+ 44%
最新
最新
2026-07-10
<20
1%
20-39
1%
40-59
44%
60-79
44%
80-99
44%
100-119
44%
120-139
44%
140-159
44%
160-179
44%
180-199
44%
200+
44%
60-79 44%
80-99 44%
180-199 44%
200+ 44%
最新
最新
2026-07-10
<20
$55 交易量
1%
20-39
$55 交易量
1%
40-59
$0 交易量
44%
60-79
$0 交易量
44%
80-99
$0 交易量
44%
100-119
$0 交易量
44%
120-139
$0 交易量
44%
140-159
$0 交易量
44%
160-179
$0 交易量
44%
180-199
$0 交易量
44%
200+
$0 交易量
44%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between July 3, 12:00 PM ET and July 10, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.President Trump's schedule for early July 2026 features several high-profile events, including a July 3 visit to Mount Rushmore for the 250th anniversary, July 4 celebrations in Washington, and travel to the NATO summit in Ankara on July 7-8. These commitments introduce uncertainty around his typical high-volume Truth Social activity, which has averaged around 18 posts daily in prior periods but spikes significantly during active news cycles or domestic-focused stretches. The tightly clustered market probabilities across volume buckets reflect trader assessments of how travel logistics, official duties, and any concurrent developments might moderate or sustain his posting pace, with outcomes hinging on the intensity of real-time reactions and event-driven commentary.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between July 3, 12:00 PM ET and July 10, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市场开放时间： Jun 30, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
交易量
$110结束日期
2026-07-10市场开放时间
Jun 30, 2026, 12:00 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between July 3, 12:00 PM ET and July 10, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.President Trump's schedule for early July 2026 features several high-profile events, including a July 3 visit to Mount Rushmore for the 250th anniversary, July 4 celebrations in Washington, and travel to the NATO summit in Ankara on July 7-8. These commitments introduce uncertainty around his typical high-volume Truth Social activity, which has averaged around 18 posts daily in prior periods but spikes significantly during active news cycles or domestic-focused stretches. The tightly clustered market probabilities across volume buckets reflect trader assessments of how travel logistics, official duties, and any concurrent developments might moderate or sustain his posting pace, with outcomes hinging on the intensity of real-time reactions and event-driven commentary.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between July 3, 12:00 PM ET and July 10, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$110结束日期
2026-07-10市场开放时间
Jun 30, 2026, 12:00 AM ETPresident Trump's schedule for early July 2026 features several high-profile events, including a July 3 visit to Mount Rushmore for the 250th anniversary, July 4 celebrations in Washington, and travel to the NATO summit in Ankara on July 7-8. These commitments introduce uncertainty around his typical high-volume Truth Social activity, which has averaged around 18 posts daily in prior periods but spikes significantly during active news cycles or domestic-focused stretches. The tightly clustered market probabilities across volume buckets reflect trader assessments of how travel logistics, official duties, and any concurrent developments might moderate or sustain his posting pace, with outcomes hinging on the intensity of real-time reactions and event-driven commentary.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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