Trump’s Truth Social activity during the final week of June 2026 remains tightly contested because historical daily averages of 18–27 posts produce weekly totals that cluster around 120–160, placing the leading 120–139 range only modestly ahead of several adjacent buckets at 41.5 percent. Recent monthly data show consistent high-volume output punctuated by late-night spikes and event-driven surges, yet no major scheduled catalysts or policy deadlines fall inside the resolution window to anchor expectations. Traders therefore price in normal variation from quiet stretches versus sudden barrages tied to breaking developments, legislative moves, or international updates. A single multi-hour posting session or an unforeseen foreign-policy flashpoint could rapidly shift volume into the 160-plus tiers, while an unusually low-news period might pull totals toward the 100–119 or lower ranges still carrying meaningful probability.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于100-119 31%
120-139 30%
80-99 28%
60-79 24%
<20
1%
20-39
1%
40-59
5%
60-79
24%
80-99
28%
100-119
31%
120-139
30%
140-159
19%
160-179
24%
180-199
23%
200+
11%
100-119 31%
120-139 30%
80-99 28%
60-79 24%
<20
1%
20-39
1%
40-59
5%
60-79
24%
80-99
28%
100-119
31%
120-139
30%
140-159
19%
160-179
24%
180-199
23%
200+
11%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市场开放时间: Jun 20, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Trump’s Truth Social activity during the final week of June 2026 remains tightly contested because historical daily averages of 18–27 posts produce weekly totals that cluster around 120–160, placing the leading 120–139 range only modestly ahead of several adjacent buckets at 41.5 percent. Recent monthly data show consistent high-volume output punctuated by late-night spikes and event-driven surges, yet no major scheduled catalysts or policy deadlines fall inside the resolution window to anchor expectations. Traders therefore price in normal variation from quiet stretches versus sudden barrages tied to breaking developments, legislative moves, or international updates. A single multi-hour posting session or an unforeseen foreign-policy flashpoint could rapidly shift volume into the 160-plus tiers, while an unusually low-news period might pull totals toward the 100–119 or lower ranges still carrying meaningful probability.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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