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icon for 特朗普是否会在……上公开侮辱某人?

特朗普是否会在……上公开侮辱某人?

icon for 特朗普是否会在……上公开侮辱某人?

特朗普是否会在……上公开侮辱某人?

6月 30

6月 30

$594,952 交易量

2026-06-30
Polymarket

$594,952 交易量

Polymarket

6月18日

$3,386 交易量

90%

6月25日

$347 交易量

92%

6月27日

$360 交易量

91%

6月15日

$9,392 交易量

93%

6月16日

$1,302 交易量

92%

6月17日

$1,584 交易量

93%

6月19日

$418 交易量

93%

6月20日

$278 交易量

93%

6月21日

$2,816 交易量

92%

6月22日

$390 交易量

93%

6月23日

$390 交易量

93%

6月24日

$243 交易量

94%

6月26日

$220 交易量

93%

6月28日

$859 交易量

93%

6月29日

$1,445 交易量

92%

6月30日

$237 交易量

93%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Donald Trump's established pattern of direct, personal rhetoric in public statements, Truth Social posts, and media interactions continues to drive trader consensus toward high implied probabilities for daily insult markets. Recent examples include pointed criticisms of journalists such as Kaitlan Collins and Kristen Welker, as well as Democratic Senate candidate Graham Platner, using terms like "thug," "pig," "crooked," and "stupid." Ongoing developments around Iran peace negotiations, including potential deal signings and related diplomatic activity, alongside scheduled appearances, provide frequent platforms for unscripted remarks. This track record, combined with routine media scrutiny, shapes the current positioning ahead of near-term resolution windows.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.

A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.

Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$594,952
结束日期
2026-06-30
市场开放时间
Jun 1, 2026, 1:46 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Donald Trump's established pattern of direct, personal rhetoric in public statements, Truth Social posts, and media interactions continues to drive trader consensus toward high implied probabilities for daily insult markets. Recent examples include pointed criticisms of journalists such as Kaitlan Collins and Kristen Welker, as well as Democratic Senate candidate Graham Platner, using terms like "thug," "pig," "crooked," and "stupid." Ongoing developments around Iran peace negotiations, including potential deal signings and related diplomatic activity, alongside scheduled appearances, provide frequent platforms for unscripted remarks. This track record, combined with routine media scrutiny, shapes the current positioning ahead of near-term resolution windows.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.

A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.

Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$594,952
结束日期
2026-06-30
市场开放时间
Jun 1, 2026, 1:46 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"特朗普是否会在……上公开侮辱某人?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 29 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"6月2日",概率为 100%,其次是"6月3日",概率为 100%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 100¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"特朗普是否会在……上公开侮辱某人?"已产生 $595K 的总交易量(自Jun 1, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"特朗普是否会在……上公开侮辱某人?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 29 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"特朗普是否会在……上公开侮辱某人?"的当前领先者是"6月2日",概率为 100%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 100%。紧随其后的结果是"6月3日",概率为 100%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"特朗普是否会在……上公开侮辱某人?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。