Ongoing US-Iran negotiations center on extending the April 2026 ceasefire, reopening the Strait of Hormuz, limiting Iran's nuclear program and enriched uranium stockpile, and easing sanctions, with President Trump and Iranian officials exchanging demands through mediators. Recent US strikes on Iranian targets in early June 2026, followed by Iranian missile and drone responses, have heightened tensions and prompted renewed warnings of escalation if no agreement emerges. Both sides cite prior breakdowns, including 2025 talks and the 12-Day War, while Iran seeks simultaneous concessions and asset releases, and the US emphasizes verifiable nuclear restraints. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty over whether current brinkmanship yields a signed deal or renewed conflict before key deadlines.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
2026-08-01
马尔科·鲁比奥
46%
本雅明·内塔尼亚胡
45%
穆罕默德·本·扎耶德·阿勒纳哈扬
45%
米沙尔·艾哈迈德·贾比尔·萨巴赫
45%
哈马德·本·伊萨·阿勒哈利法
45%
阿卜杜拉二世国王
45%
穆罕默德·本·萨勒曼
44%
谢赫巴兹·谢里夫
43%
马苏德·佩泽什基安
43%
阿巴斯·阿拉格齐
43%
史蒂夫·维特科夫
43%
谢赫塔米姆·本·哈马德·阿勒萨尼
43%
唐纳德·特朗普
43%
雷杰普·塔伊普·埃尔多安
42%
阿卜杜勒·法塔赫·塞西
37%
阿里·拉里贾尼
34%
莫吉塔巴·哈梅内伊
28%
皮特·赫格塞斯
19%
JD·万斯
57%
$77 交易量
马尔科·鲁比奥
$0 交易量
46%
本雅明·内塔尼亚胡
$17 交易量
45%
穆罕默德·本·扎耶德·阿勒纳哈扬
$0 交易量
45%
米沙尔·艾哈迈德·贾比尔·萨巴赫
$0 交易量
45%
哈马德·本·伊萨·阿勒哈利法
$0 交易量
45%
阿卜杜拉二世国王
$0 交易量
45%
穆罕默德·本·萨勒曼
$0 交易量
44%
谢赫巴兹·谢里夫
$0 交易量
43%
马苏德·佩泽什基安
$0 交易量
43%
阿巴斯·阿拉格齐
$0 交易量
43%
史蒂夫·维特科夫
$0 交易量
43%
谢赫塔米姆·本·哈马德·阿勒萨尼
$0 交易量
43%
唐纳德·特朗普
$0 交易量
43%
雷杰普·塔伊普·埃尔多安
$0 交易量
42%
阿卜杜勒·法塔赫·塞西
$0 交易量
37%
阿里·拉里贾尼
$15 交易量
34%
莫吉塔巴·哈梅内伊
$0 交易量
28%
皮特·赫格塞斯
$12 交易量
19%
JD·万斯
$33 交易量
57%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual signs a written agreement to which both the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran are parties by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity.
The United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify.
The listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement.
Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing US-Iran negotiations center on extending the April 2026 ceasefire, reopening the Strait of Hormuz, limiting Iran's nuclear program and enriched uranium stockpile, and easing sanctions, with President Trump and Iranian officials exchanging demands through mediators. Recent US strikes on Iranian targets in early June 2026, followed by Iranian missile and drone responses, have heightened tensions and prompted renewed warnings of escalation if no agreement emerges. Both sides cite prior breakdowns, including 2025 talks and the 12-Day War, while Iran seeks simultaneous concessions and asset releases, and the US emphasizes verifiable nuclear restraints. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty over whether current brinkmanship yields a signed deal or renewed conflict before key deadlines.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual signs a written agreement to which both the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran are parties by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity.
The United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify.
The listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement.
Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity.
The United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify.
The listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement.
Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jun 11, 2026, 8:24 PM ET
交易量
$77结束日期
2026-08-01市场开放时间
Jun 11, 2026, 8:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual signs a written agreement to which both the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran are parties by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity.
The United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify.
The listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement.
Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing US-Iran negotiations center on extending the April 2026 ceasefire, reopening the Strait of Hormuz, limiting Iran's nuclear program and enriched uranium stockpile, and easing sanctions, with President Trump and Iranian officials exchanging demands through mediators. Recent US strikes on Iranian targets in early June 2026, followed by Iranian missile and drone responses, have heightened tensions and prompted renewed warnings of escalation if no agreement emerges. Both sides cite prior breakdowns, including 2025 talks and the 12-Day War, while Iran seeks simultaneous concessions and asset releases, and the US emphasizes verifiable nuclear restraints. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty over whether current brinkmanship yields a signed deal or renewed conflict before key deadlines.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual signs a written agreement to which both the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran are parties by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity.
The United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify.
The listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement.
Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity.
The United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify.
The listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement.
Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$77结束日期
2026-08-01市场开放时间
Jun 11, 2026, 8:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing US-Iran negotiations center on extending the April 2026 ceasefire, reopening the Strait of Hormuz, limiting Iran's nuclear program and enriched uranium stockpile, and easing sanctions, with President Trump and Iranian officials exchanging demands through mediators. Recent US strikes on Iranian targets in early June 2026, followed by Iranian missile and drone responses, have heightened tensions and prompted renewed warnings of escalation if no agreement emerges. Both sides cite prior breakdowns, including 2025 talks and the 12-Day War, while Iran seeks simultaneous concessions and asset releases, and the US emphasizes verifiable nuclear restraints. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty over whether current brinkmanship yields a signed deal or renewed conflict before key deadlines.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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