Israeli and Lebanese officials signed a June 2026 U.S.-brokered framework agreement establishing pilot zones north and south of the Litani River for limited, conditions-based IDF redeployments tied to Lebanese Armed Forces deployment and verifiable Hezbollah disarmament in those sectors. Broader withdrawals from the expanded southern security zone remain linked to the LAF demonstrating effective control and preventing Hezbollah rearmament or infrastructure rebuilding, rather than fixed timelines. As of mid-September 2026, IDF Chief of Staff Eyal Zamir stated operations continue to clear Hezbollah south of the Litani, with forward defensive positions maintained inside Lebanese territory until LAF capabilities improve substantially. Ongoing Israeli artillery and air strikes in areas such as Zawtar al-Sharqiyah and Aita al-Jabal, combined with Hezbollah and Lebanese calls for full withdrawal, underscore the linkage between security verification and any further pullbacks ahead of planned October talks in Rome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$1,367,757 交易量
2026-09-30
9月30日
1%
3月31日
24%
10月31日
6%
December 31
15%
$1,367,757 交易量
9月30日
$9,960 交易量
1%
3月31日
$136 交易量
24%
10月31日
$3,838 交易量
6%
December 31
$512,605 交易量
15%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.Israeli and Lebanese officials signed a June 2026 U.S.-brokered framework agreement establishing pilot zones north and south of the Litani River for limited, conditions-based IDF redeployments tied to Lebanese Armed Forces deployment and verifiable Hezbollah disarmament in those sectors. Broader withdrawals from the expanded southern security zone remain linked to the LAF demonstrating effective control and preventing Hezbollah rearmament or infrastructure rebuilding, rather than fixed timelines. As of mid-September 2026, IDF Chief of Staff Eyal Zamir stated operations continue to clear Hezbollah south of the Litani, with forward defensive positions maintained inside Lebanese territory until LAF capabilities improve substantially. Ongoing Israeli artillery and air strikes in areas such as Zawtar al-Sharqiyah and Aita al-Jabal, combined with Hezbollah and Lebanese calls for full withdrawal, underscore the linkage between security verification and any further pullbacks ahead of planned October talks in Rome.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
市场开放时间： Sep 7, 2026, 11:54 AM ET
交易量
$1,367,757结束日期
2026-09-01市场开放时间
Sep 7, 2026, 11:54 AM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.Israeli and Lebanese officials signed a June 2026 U.S.-brokered framework agreement establishing pilot zones north and south of the Litani River for limited, conditions-based IDF redeployments tied to Lebanese Armed Forces deployment and verifiable Hezbollah disarmament in those sectors. Broader withdrawals from the expanded southern security zone remain linked to the LAF demonstrating effective control and preventing Hezbollah rearmament or infrastructure rebuilding, rather than fixed timelines. As of mid-September 2026, IDF Chief of Staff Eyal Zamir stated operations continue to clear Hezbollah south of the Litani, with forward defensive positions maintained inside Lebanese territory until LAF capabilities improve substantially. Ongoing Israeli artillery and air strikes in areas such as Zawtar al-Sharqiyah and Aita al-Jabal, combined with Hezbollah and Lebanese calls for full withdrawal, underscore the linkage between security verification and any further pullbacks ahead of planned October talks in Rome.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
交易量
$1,367,757结束日期
2026-09-01市场开放时间
Sep 7, 2026, 11:54 AM ETIsraeli and Lebanese officials signed a June 2026 U.S.-brokered framework agreement establishing pilot zones north and south of the Litani River for limited, conditions-based IDF redeployments tied to Lebanese Armed Forces deployment and verifiable Hezbollah disarmament in those sectors. Broader withdrawals from the expanded southern security zone remain linked to the LAF demonstrating effective control and preventing Hezbollah rearmament or infrastructure rebuilding, rather than fixed timelines. As of mid-September 2026, IDF Chief of Staff Eyal Zamir stated operations continue to clear Hezbollah south of the Litani, with forward defensive positions maintained inside Lebanese territory until LAF capabilities improve substantially. Ongoing Israeli artillery and air strikes in areas such as Zawtar al-Sharqiyah and Aita al-Jabal, combined with Hezbollah and Lebanese calls for full withdrawal, underscore the linkage between security verification and any further pullbacks ahead of planned October talks in Rome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题