Amid ongoing US-Iran tensions following airstrikes and a fragile April ceasefire brokered by Pakistan, President Trump notified Congress on May 1 that military operations against Iran have terminated, though US forces remain positioned in the Middle East amid Strait of Hormuz disputes. Iran recently seized ships in the Gulf, prompting Pentagon warnings and Secretary Hegseth's testimony on potential escalation plans during Senate and House hearings this week. No formal Congressional war declaration—required under Article I, Section 8—has advanced, as diplomatic channels via China and Pakistan push for nuclear and navigation pacts. Traders weigh de-escalation signals against proxy risks and IRGC dominance, with upcoming defense budget votes and Trump-Xi talks as key catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$7,520,010 交易量
2026-12-31
12月31日
8%
$7,520,010 交易量
12月31日
$547,375 交易量
8%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.Amid ongoing US-Iran tensions following airstrikes and a fragile April ceasefire brokered by Pakistan, President Trump notified Congress on May 1 that military operations against Iran have terminated, though US forces remain positioned in the Middle East amid Strait of Hormuz disputes. Iran recently seized ships in the Gulf, prompting Pentagon warnings and Secretary Hegseth's testimony on potential escalation plans during Senate and House hearings this week. No formal Congressional war declaration—required under Article I, Section 8—has advanced, as diplomatic channels via China and Pakistan push for nuclear and navigation pacts. Traders weigh de-escalation signals against proxy risks and IRGC dominance, with upcoming defense budget votes and Trump-Xi talks as key catalysts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ET
交易量
$7,520,010结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.Amid ongoing US-Iran tensions following airstrikes and a fragile April ceasefire brokered by Pakistan, President Trump notified Congress on May 1 that military operations against Iran have terminated, though US forces remain positioned in the Middle East amid Strait of Hormuz disputes. Iran recently seized ships in the Gulf, prompting Pentagon warnings and Secretary Hegseth's testimony on potential escalation plans during Senate and House hearings this week. No formal Congressional war declaration—required under Article I, Section 8—has advanced, as diplomatic channels via China and Pakistan push for nuclear and navigation pacts. Traders weigh de-escalation signals against proxy risks and IRGC dominance, with upcoming defense budget votes and Trump-Xi talks as key catalysts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$7,520,010结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Amid ongoing US-Iran tensions following airstrikes and a fragile April ceasefire brokered by Pakistan, President Trump notified Congress on May 1 that military operations against Iran have terminated, though US forces remain positioned in the Middle East amid Strait of Hormuz disputes. Iran recently seized ships in the Gulf, prompting Pentagon warnings and Secretary Hegseth's testimony on potential escalation plans during Senate and House hearings this week. No formal Congressional war declaration—required under Article I, Section 8—has advanced, as diplomatic channels via China and Pakistan push for nuclear and navigation pacts. Traders weigh de-escalation signals against proxy risks and IRGC dominance, with upcoming defense budget votes and Trump-Xi talks as key catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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