Ongoing military operations between the United States and Iran, which began with joint U.S.-Israeli airstrikes in February 2026, continue without a formal congressional declaration of war. Recent developments center on control of the Strait of Hormuz, where Iran has asserted management authority and blocked commercial traffic, prompting a U.S. naval blockade and repeated exchanges of strikes that resumed after a June memorandum of understanding. A pause in direct U.S.-Iran strikes has held into mid-August amid Oman-mediated talks, but the 60-day MOU is set to expire around August 17, with President Trump demanding Iranian compensation for prior damages while Tehran seeks sanctions relief and an end to the blockade. These diplomatic and military dynamics, along with any resumption of strikes or new agreements, shape trader assessments of escalation risks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$7,764,545 交易量
2026-12-31
12月31日
3%
$7,764,545 交易量
12月31日
$791,911 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing military operations between the United States and Iran, which began with joint U.S.-Israeli airstrikes in February 2026, continue without a formal congressional declaration of war. Recent developments center on control of the Strait of Hormuz, where Iran has asserted management authority and blocked commercial traffic, prompting a U.S. naval blockade and repeated exchanges of strikes that resumed after a June memorandum of understanding. A pause in direct U.S.-Iran strikes has held into mid-August amid Oman-mediated talks, but the 60-day MOU is set to expire around August 17, with President Trump demanding Iranian compensation for prior damages while Tehran seeks sanctions relief and an end to the blockade. These diplomatic and military dynamics, along with any resumption of strikes or new agreements, shape trader assessments of escalation risks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ET
交易量
$7,764,545结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing military operations between the United States and Iran, which began with joint U.S.-Israeli airstrikes in February 2026, continue without a formal congressional declaration of war. Recent developments center on control of the Strait of Hormuz, where Iran has asserted management authority and blocked commercial traffic, prompting a U.S. naval blockade and repeated exchanges of strikes that resumed after a June memorandum of understanding. A pause in direct U.S.-Iran strikes has held into mid-August amid Oman-mediated talks, but the 60-day MOU is set to expire around August 17, with President Trump demanding Iranian compensation for prior damages while Tehran seeks sanctions relief and an end to the blockade. These diplomatic and military dynamics, along with any resumption of strikes or new agreements, shape trader assessments of escalation risks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$7,764,545结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing military operations between the United States and Iran, which began with joint U.S.-Israeli airstrikes in February 2026, continue without a formal congressional declaration of war. Recent developments center on control of the Strait of Hormuz, where Iran has asserted management authority and blocked commercial traffic, prompting a U.S. naval blockade and repeated exchanges of strikes that resumed after a June memorandum of understanding. A pause in direct U.S.-Iran strikes has held into mid-August amid Oman-mediated talks, but the 60-day MOU is set to expire around August 17, with President Trump demanding Iranian compensation for prior damages while Tehran seeks sanctions relief and an end to the blockade. These diplomatic and military dynamics, along with any resumption of strikes or new agreements, shape trader assessments of escalation risks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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