US-Iran military operations have featured repeated US and Israeli strikes on Iranian targets since February 2026, alongside Iranian retaliatory missile and drone attacks, with a key flashpoint remaining control over the Strait of Hormuz. A June memorandum of understanding aimed at ending hostilities and reopening the waterway collapsed amid renewed vessel attacks and US strikes in July, though both sides have since paused major attacks to facilitate talks amid mediation efforts by Pakistan and others. No congressional declaration of war has occurred despite sustained operations, consistent with the constitutional requirement that only Congress holds that authority. Ongoing diplomatic deadlock over sanctions relief, reparations, and navigation protocols, plus scheduled technical discussions, continue to shape trader assessments of any formal escalation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$7,764,533 交易量
2026-12-31
12月31日
3%
$7,764,533 交易量
12月31日
$791,899 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.US-Iran military operations have featured repeated US and Israeli strikes on Iranian targets since February 2026, alongside Iranian retaliatory missile and drone attacks, with a key flashpoint remaining control over the Strait of Hormuz. A June memorandum of understanding aimed at ending hostilities and reopening the waterway collapsed amid renewed vessel attacks and US strikes in July, though both sides have since paused major attacks to facilitate talks amid mediation efforts by Pakistan and others. No congressional declaration of war has occurred despite sustained operations, consistent with the constitutional requirement that only Congress holds that authority. Ongoing diplomatic deadlock over sanctions relief, reparations, and navigation protocols, plus scheduled technical discussions, continue to shape trader assessments of any formal escalation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ET
交易量
$7,764,533结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.US-Iran military operations have featured repeated US and Israeli strikes on Iranian targets since February 2026, alongside Iranian retaliatory missile and drone attacks, with a key flashpoint remaining control over the Strait of Hormuz. A June memorandum of understanding aimed at ending hostilities and reopening the waterway collapsed amid renewed vessel attacks and US strikes in July, though both sides have since paused major attacks to facilitate talks amid mediation efforts by Pakistan and others. No congressional declaration of war has occurred despite sustained operations, consistent with the constitutional requirement that only Congress holds that authority. Ongoing diplomatic deadlock over sanctions relief, reparations, and navigation protocols, plus scheduled technical discussions, continue to shape trader assessments of any formal escalation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$7,764,533结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US-Iran military operations have featured repeated US and Israeli strikes on Iranian targets since February 2026, alongside Iranian retaliatory missile and drone attacks, with a key flashpoint remaining control over the Strait of Hormuz. A June memorandum of understanding aimed at ending hostilities and reopening the waterway collapsed amid renewed vessel attacks and US strikes in July, though both sides have since paused major attacks to facilitate talks amid mediation efforts by Pakistan and others. No congressional declaration of war has occurred despite sustained operations, consistent with the constitutional requirement that only Congress holds that authority. Ongoing diplomatic deadlock over sanctions relief, reparations, and navigation protocols, plus scheduled technical discussions, continue to shape trader assessments of any formal escalation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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