**Persistent diplomatic hurdles and a narrow remaining timeline sustain trader skepticism about near-term expansion.** Saudi Arabia, the most frequently discussed candidate, continues to tie any normalization to verifiable progress on a Palestinian state, a condition unchanged despite sustained U.S. pressure and repeated statements from Riyadh through mid-2026. Efforts targeting Syria and Lebanon have likewise stalled, with Syria’s new leadership explicitly declining participation citing distinct bilateral tensions and ongoing border frictions. Kazakhstan’s formal accession and Somaliland’s pledge occurred earlier in 2026, but no additional sovereign states have completed the process since. With only months left before the 2027 cutoff and no scheduled breakthroughs or shifted Palestinian-track dynamics on the immediate horizon, market pricing reflects the view that further accessions remain improbable before year-end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
25% 概率
$272,465 交易量
$272,465 交易量
2026-12-31
是
25% 概率
$272,465 交易量
$272,465 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.**Persistent diplomatic hurdles and a narrow remaining timeline sustain trader skepticism about near-term expansion.** Saudi Arabia, the most frequently discussed candidate, continues to tie any normalization to verifiable progress on a Palestinian state, a condition unchanged despite sustained U.S. pressure and repeated statements from Riyadh through mid-2026. Efforts targeting Syria and Lebanon have likewise stalled, with Syria’s new leadership explicitly declining participation citing distinct bilateral tensions and ongoing border frictions. Kazakhstan’s formal accession and Somaliland’s pledge occurred earlier in 2026, but no additional sovereign states have completed the process since. With only months left before the 2027 cutoff and no scheduled breakthroughs or shifted Palestinian-track dynamics on the immediate horizon, market pricing reflects the view that further accessions remain improbable before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Nov 5, 2025, 3:17 PM ET
交易量
$272,465结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.**Persistent diplomatic hurdles and a narrow remaining timeline sustain trader skepticism about near-term expansion.** Saudi Arabia, the most frequently discussed candidate, continues to tie any normalization to verifiable progress on a Palestinian state, a condition unchanged despite sustained U.S. pressure and repeated statements from Riyadh through mid-2026. Efforts targeting Syria and Lebanon have likewise stalled, with Syria’s new leadership explicitly declining participation citing distinct bilateral tensions and ongoing border frictions. Kazakhstan’s formal accession and Somaliland’s pledge occurred earlier in 2026, but no additional sovereign states have completed the process since. With only months left before the 2027 cutoff and no scheduled breakthroughs or shifted Palestinian-track dynamics on the immediate horizon, market pricing reflects the view that further accessions remain improbable before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$272,465结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Persistent diplomatic hurdles and a narrow remaining timeline sustain trader skepticism about near-term expansion.** Saudi Arabia, the most frequently discussed candidate, continues to tie any normalization to verifiable progress on a Palestinian state, a condition unchanged despite sustained U.S. pressure and repeated statements from Riyadh through mid-2026. Efforts targeting Syria and Lebanon have likewise stalled, with Syria’s new leadership explicitly declining participation citing distinct bilateral tensions and ongoing border frictions. Kazakhstan’s formal accession and Somaliland’s pledge occurred earlier in 2026, but no additional sovereign states have completed the process since. With only months left before the 2027 cutoff and no scheduled breakthroughs or shifted Palestinian-track dynamics on the immediate horizon, market pricing reflects the view that further accessions remain improbable before year-end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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