Stalled normalization talks, particularly with Saudi Arabia, continue to shape trader expectations that no additional country will formally accede to the Abraham Accords before the end of 2026. Riyadh maintains its longstanding requirement for concrete progress toward Palestinian statehood and a Gaza ceasefire as preconditions, despite repeated U.S. diplomatic overtures and bilateral summits. Kazakhstan’s accession in November 2025 marked the most recent expansion, yet subsequent efforts involving potential candidates such as Somaliland, Syria, or Indonesia have produced no new formal agreements amid persistent regional frictions. This lack of momentum over the past six months underpins the current 55.4 percent implied probability for no further signatories.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$113,038 交易量
$113,038 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$113,038 交易量
$113,038 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Stalled normalization talks, particularly with Saudi Arabia, continue to shape trader expectations that no additional country will formally accede to the Abraham Accords before the end of 2026. Riyadh maintains its longstanding requirement for concrete progress toward Palestinian statehood and a Gaza ceasefire as preconditions, despite repeated U.S. diplomatic overtures and bilateral summits. Kazakhstan’s accession in November 2025 marked the most recent expansion, yet subsequent efforts involving potential candidates such as Somaliland, Syria, or Indonesia have produced no new formal agreements amid persistent regional frictions. This lack of momentum over the past six months underpins the current 55.4 percent implied probability for no further signatories.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Nov 5, 2025, 3:17 PM ET
交易量
$113,038结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Stalled normalization talks, particularly with Saudi Arabia, continue to shape trader expectations that no additional country will formally accede to the Abraham Accords before the end of 2026. Riyadh maintains its longstanding requirement for concrete progress toward Palestinian statehood and a Gaza ceasefire as preconditions, despite repeated U.S. diplomatic overtures and bilateral summits. Kazakhstan’s accession in November 2025 marked the most recent expansion, yet subsequent efforts involving potential candidates such as Somaliland, Syria, or Indonesia have produced no new formal agreements amid persistent regional frictions. This lack of momentum over the past six months underpins the current 55.4 percent implied probability for no further signatories.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$113,038结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Stalled normalization talks, particularly with Saudi Arabia, continue to shape trader expectations that no additional country will formally accede to the Abraham Accords before the end of 2026. Riyadh maintains its longstanding requirement for concrete progress toward Palestinian statehood and a Gaza ceasefire as preconditions, despite repeated U.S. diplomatic overtures and bilateral summits. Kazakhstan’s accession in November 2025 marked the most recent expansion, yet subsequent efforts involving potential candidates such as Somaliland, Syria, or Indonesia have produced no new formal agreements amid persistent regional frictions. This lack of momentum over the past six months underpins the current 55.4 percent implied probability for no further signatories.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题