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icon for 哪些国家将在12月31日之前承认以色列?

哪些国家将在12月31日之前承认以色列?

icon for 哪些国家将在12月31日之前承认以色列?

哪些国家将在12月31日之前承认以色列?

$778,383 交易量

2026-12-31
Polymarket

$778,383 交易量

Polymarket
icon for 黎巴嫩

黎巴嫩

$114,952 交易量

10%

icon for 委内瑞拉

委内瑞拉

$360,966 交易量

9%

icon for 突尼斯

突尼斯

$12,518 交易量

7%

icon for 科威特

科威特

$16,930 交易量

7%

icon for 伊拉克

伊拉克

$13,527 交易量

6%

icon for 印尼

印尼

$21,327 交易量

5%

icon for 巴基斯坦

巴基斯坦

$9,947 交易量

5%

icon for 叙利亚

叙利亚

$22,052 交易量

5%

icon for 朝鲜

朝鲜

$20,336 交易量

4%

icon for 孟加拉国

孟加拉国

$13,532 交易量

4%

icon for 伊朗

伊朗

$16,734 交易量

4%

icon for 古巴

古巴

$13,377 交易量

4%

icon for 阿富汗

阿富汗

$20,787 交易量

4%

icon for 卡塔尔

卡塔尔

$37,838 交易量

4%

icon for 沙特阿拉伯

沙特阿拉伯

$70,206 交易量

3%

icon for 马来西亚

马来西亚

$13,354 交易量

3%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Diplomatic momentum around Israel recognition centers on expansion of the Abraham Accords framework and targeted bilateral steps. Kazakhstan’s recent accession has broadened participation beyond the original UAE, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan signatories, while Israel’s December 2025 mutual recognition with Somaliland marked the first formal acknowledgment of that breakaway entity. Colombia’s August 2026 decision to recognize Israeli sovereignty over the Golan Heights added to the two-country total on that issue. Nine countries now maintain embassies in Jerusalem, including two opened in 2026, and DR Congo has signaled plans to relocate its mission there. Persistent non-recognition by roughly two dozen states, primarily in the Middle East and parts of Africa and Asia, continues alongside active regional diplomacy that could produce additional formal ties before year-end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$778,383
结束日期
2027-01-01
市场开放时间
Jun 1, 2026, 1:48 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Diplomatic momentum around Israel recognition centers on expansion of the Abraham Accords framework and targeted bilateral steps. Kazakhstan’s recent accession has broadened participation beyond the original UAE, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan signatories, while Israel’s December 2025 mutual recognition with Somaliland marked the first formal acknowledgment of that breakaway entity. Colombia’s August 2026 decision to recognize Israeli sovereignty over the Golan Heights added to the two-country total on that issue. Nine countries now maintain embassies in Jerusalem, including two opened in 2026, and DR Congo has signaled plans to relocate its mission there. Persistent non-recognition by roughly two dozen states, primarily in the Middle East and parts of Africa and Asia, continues alongside active regional diplomacy that could produce additional formal ties before year-end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$778,383
结束日期
2027-01-01
市场开放时间
Jun 1, 2026, 1:48 PM ET

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"哪些国家将在12月31日之前承认以色列?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 16 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"黎巴嫩",概率为 10%,其次是"委内瑞拉",概率为 9%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 10¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 10%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"哪些国家将在12月31日之前承认以色列?"已产生 $778.4K 的总交易量(自Jun 1, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"哪些国家将在12月31日之前承认以色列?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 16 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"哪些国家将在12月31日之前承认以色列?"的当前领先者是"黎巴嫩",概率为 10%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 10%。紧随其后的结果是"委内瑞拉",概率为 9%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"哪些国家将在12月31日之前承认以色列?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。