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icon for 哪些国家将在12月31日之前承认以色列？
地缘政治·叙利亚

哪些国家将在12月31日之前承认以色列？

icon for 哪些国家将在12月31日之前承认以色列？
地缘政治·叙利亚

哪些国家将在12月31日之前承认以色列？

6月 30

12月 31

6月 30

12月 31

$59,314 交易量

2026-12-31
Polymarket

$59,314 交易量

Polymarket
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朝鲜

$813 交易量

6%

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古巴

$838 交易量

11%

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叙利亚

$4,330 交易量

11%

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孟加拉国

$5,597 交易量

9%

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沙特阿拉伯

$13,419 交易量

12%

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黎巴嫩

$3,537 交易量

20%

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阿富汗

$6,593 交易量

8%

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卡塔尔

$3,923 交易量

10%

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伊拉克

$183 交易量

7%

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巴基斯坦

$1,894 交易量

6%

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委内瑞拉

$3,216 交易量

12%

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突尼斯

$5,813 交易量

7%

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科威特

$905 交易量

10%

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印尼

$1,569 交易量

12%

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马来西亚

$3,960 交易量

5%

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伊朗

$2,725 交易量

9%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Diplomatic normalization with Israel remains constrained by regional tensions and Palestinian statehood conditions, particularly from major holdouts such as Saudi Arabia, which has repeatedly stated that any ties require an irreversible pathway to Palestinian sovereignty. As of early 2026, roughly 164 UN member states maintain formal recognition, with the most recent additions including Kazakhstan in late 2025 and Israel's reciprocal recognition of Somaliland that December. No new sovereign recognitions have occurred in 2026, reflecting persistent Arab League and Organization of Islamic Cooperation positions amid Gaza-related dynamics. U.S. diplomatic signals on security pacts and Iran could influence timelines, yet Saudi public and official stances continue to prioritize Palestinian concessions before any shift by the December 31 resolution date.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$59,314
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
Jun 1, 2026, 1:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Diplomatic normalization with Israel remains constrained by regional tensions and Palestinian statehood conditions, particularly from major holdouts such as Saudi Arabia, which has repeatedly stated that any ties require an irreversible pathway to Palestinian sovereignty. As of early 2026, roughly 164 UN member states maintain formal recognition, with the most recent additions including Kazakhstan in late 2025 and Israel's reciprocal recognition of Somaliland that December. No new sovereign recognitions have occurred in 2026, reflecting persistent Arab League and Organization of Islamic Cooperation positions amid Gaza-related dynamics. U.S. diplomatic signals on security pacts and Iran could influence timelines, yet Saudi public and official stances continue to prioritize Palestinian concessions before any shift by the December 31 resolution date.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$59,314
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
Jun 1, 2026, 1:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"哪些国家将在12月31日之前承认以色列？"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 16 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"黎巴嫩"，概率为 20%，其次是"印尼"，概率为 12%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 20¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 20%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"哪些国家将在12月31日之前承认以色列？"已产生 $59.3K 的总交易量（自Jun 1, 2026市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"哪些国家将在12月31日之前承认以色列？"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 16 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"哪些国家将在12月31日之前承认以色列？"的当前领先者是"黎巴嫩"，概率为 20%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 20%。紧随其后的结果是"印尼"，概率为 12%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"哪些国家将在12月31日之前承认以色列？"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。