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政治·以色列

哪些国家将在2027年之前承认巴勒斯坦？

icon for 哪些国家将在2027年之前承认巴勒斯坦？
政治·以色列

哪些国家将在2027年之前承认巴勒斯坦？

12月 31

12月 31

$624,856 交易量

2026-12-31
Polymarket

$624,856 交易量

Polymarket
icon for 美国

美国

$16,213 交易量

8%

icon for 意大利

意大利

$15,147 交易量

16%

icon for 荷兰

荷兰

$49,466 交易量

20%

icon for 日本

日本

$39,821 交易量

16%

icon for 德国

德国

$66,145 交易量

6%

icon for 比利时

比利时

$66,398 交易量

24%

icon for 芬兰

芬兰

$37,655 交易量

10%

icon for 奥地利

奥地利

$171,860 交易量

4%

icon for 希腊

希腊

$45,092 交易量

13%

icon for 新西兰

新西兰

$117,060 交易量

19%

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.As of May 2026, 157 UN member states recognize Palestine as a sovereign state, following a surge of 20 recognitions since Israel's Gaza war began in October 2023, culminating in September 2025 when Western allies including the UK, Canada, Australia, France, Belgium, Portugal, Luxembourg, Malta, and Andorra formally extended recognition during the UN General Assembly. This diplomatic momentum reflected growing calls for a two-state solution amid stalled Israeli-Palestinian negotiations. Key holdouts—US, Germany, Italy, Japan, Netherlands, and others—condition statehood on direct bilateral talks, maintaining trader caution for further shifts before 2027. Upcoming factors include potential EU coordination, UN Security Council debates, and regional summits that could pressure laggards or revive peace diplomacy.

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET.

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$624,856
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 11:52 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.As of May 2026, 157 UN member states recognize Palestine as a sovereign state, following a surge of 20 recognitions since Israel's Gaza war began in October 2023, culminating in September 2025 when Western allies including the UK, Canada, Australia, France, Belgium, Portugal, Luxembourg, Malta, and Andorra formally extended recognition during the UN General Assembly. This diplomatic momentum reflected growing calls for a two-state solution amid stalled Israeli-Palestinian negotiations. Key holdouts—US, Germany, Italy, Japan, Netherlands, and others—condition statehood on direct bilateral talks, maintaining trader caution for further shifts before 2027. Upcoming factors include potential EU coordination, UN Security Council debates, and regional summits that could pressure laggards or revive peace diplomacy.

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET.

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$624,856
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 11:52 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"哪些国家将在2027年之前承认巴勒斯坦？"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 10 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"比利时"，概率为 24%，其次是"荷兰"，概率为 20%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 24¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 24%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"哪些国家将在2027年之前承认巴勒斯坦？"已产生 $624.9K 的总交易量（自Nov 5, 2025市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"哪些国家将在2027年之前承认巴勒斯坦？"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 10 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"哪些国家将在2027年之前承认巴勒斯坦？"的当前领先者是"比利时"，概率为 24%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 24%。紧随其后的结果是"荷兰"，概率为 20%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"哪些国家将在2027年之前承认巴勒斯坦？"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。