Trader consensus pricing "No" at 62.5% reflects the absence of verified expulsions of Israeli ambassadors in recent months, despite ongoing diplomatic strains tied to the Gaza conflict and Israel-Hezbollah clashes. Iran’s March offer of Strait of Hormuz transit rights for any Arab or European nation taking such action produced no follow-through from targeted governments. Earlier moves, including South Africa’s January decision on Israel’s chargé d’affaires and Spain’s March withdrawal of its own envoy, stopped short of full ambassador expulsions. Opposition calls in France and the United Kingdom have remained non-binding, with no scheduled votes or official announcements indicating imminent action before year-end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$28,988 交易量
$28,988 交易量
是
$28,988 交易量
$28,988 交易量
Any expulsion from a country where an Israeli ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a Israeli ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel, including the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Mar 31, 2026, 3:41 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Any expulsion from a country where an Israeli ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a Israeli ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel, including the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus pricing "No" at 62.5% reflects the absence of verified expulsions of Israeli ambassadors in recent months, despite ongoing diplomatic strains tied to the Gaza conflict and Israel-Hezbollah clashes. Iran’s March offer of Strait of Hormuz transit rights for any Arab or European nation taking such action produced no follow-through from targeted governments. Earlier moves, including South Africa’s January decision on Israel’s chargé d’affaires and Spain’s March withdrawal of its own envoy, stopped short of full ambassador expulsions. Opposition calls in France and the United Kingdom have remained non-binding, with no scheduled votes or official announcements indicating imminent action before year-end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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