Recent U.S.-Iran talks, including the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum and subsequent technical rounds, have produced a temporary ceasefire and opened nuclear discussions but left core disputes unresolved, particularly over uranium enrichment limits, verification, and sanctions relief. UN Security Council actions this year have focused on condemning Iranian missile activity and reimposing prior restrictions rather than endorsing new agreements. With major powers divided on enforcement and a compressed timeline to year-end, traders assess limited prospects for a finalized deal reaching formal UNSC adoption.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
35% 概率
$124,993 交易量
$124,993 交易量
2026-12-31
是
35% 概率
$124,993 交易量
$124,993 交易量
2026-12-31
On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Recent U.S.-Iran talks, including the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum and subsequent technical rounds, have produced a temporary ceasefire and opened nuclear discussions but left core disputes unresolved, particularly over uranium enrichment limits, verification, and sanctions relief. UN Security Council actions this year have focused on condemning Iranian missile activity and reimposing prior restrictions rather than endorsing new agreements. With major powers divided on enforcement and a compressed timeline to year-end, traders assess limited prospects for a finalized deal reaching formal UNSC adoption.
On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Jun 23, 2026, 12:51 AM ET
交易量
$124,993结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jun 23, 2026, 12:51 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Recent U.S.-Iran talks, including the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum and subsequent technical rounds, have produced a temporary ceasefire and opened nuclear discussions but left core disputes unresolved, particularly over uranium enrichment limits, verification, and sanctions relief. UN Security Council actions this year have focused on condemning Iranian missile activity and reimposing prior restrictions rather than endorsing new agreements. With major powers divided on enforcement and a compressed timeline to year-end, traders assess limited prospects for a finalized deal reaching formal UNSC adoption.
On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$124,993结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jun 23, 2026, 12:51 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent U.S.-Iran talks, including the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum and subsequent technical rounds, have produced a temporary ceasefire and opened nuclear discussions but left core disputes unresolved, particularly over uranium enrichment limits, verification, and sanctions relief. UN Security Council actions this year have focused on condemning Iranian missile activity and reimposing prior restrictions rather than endorsing new agreements. With major powers divided on enforcement and a compressed timeline to year-end, traders assess limited prospects for a finalized deal reaching formal UNSC adoption.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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