Skip to main content
icon for 哪个国家将在2027年之前加入亚伯拉罕协议？
政治·中东

哪个国家将在2027年之前加入亚伯拉罕协议？

icon for 哪个国家将在2027年之前加入亚伯拉罕协议？
政治·中东

哪个国家将在2027年之前加入亚伯拉罕协议？

12月 31

12月 31

$567,096 交易量

2026-12-31
Polymarket

$567,096 交易量

Polymarket

索马里兰

$61,634 交易量

37%

阿塞拜疆

$43,147 交易量

22%

黎巴嫩

$58,017 交易量

17%

科威特

$22,614 交易量

14%

沙特阿拉伯

$89,001 交易量

13%

阿曼

$145,328 交易量

13%

叙利亚

$147,355 交易量

12%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Kazakhstan's November 2025 accession marked the Abraham Accords' first formal expansion since the 2020 pacts with UAE, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan, fueled by the second Trump administration's renewed diplomatic efforts. Somaliland leads trader consensus at 37% implied probability after pledging to join post-Israel's December 2025 recognition of its independence, though formal signing remains pending amid sovereignty debates. Saudi Arabia trails at 17% following President Trump's March 2026 public urging amid post-Iran war regional realignment, with Azerbaijan at 19% leveraging longstanding Israel ties. No new agreements have materialized in 2026, reflecting hurdles like domestic politics and Palestinian issues; potential U.S.-brokered summits before December 31 deadline could shift odds.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.

The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$567,096
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 1:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Kazakhstan's November 2025 accession marked the Abraham Accords' first formal expansion since the 2020 pacts with UAE, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan, fueled by the second Trump administration's renewed diplomatic efforts. Somaliland leads trader consensus at 37% implied probability after pledging to join post-Israel's December 2025 recognition of its independence, though formal signing remains pending amid sovereignty debates. Saudi Arabia trails at 17% following President Trump's March 2026 public urging amid post-Iran war regional realignment, with Azerbaijan at 19% leveraging longstanding Israel ties. No new agreements have materialized in 2026, reflecting hurdles like domestic politics and Palestinian issues; potential U.S.-brokered summits before December 31 deadline could shift odds.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.

The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$567,096
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 1:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"哪个国家将在2027年之前加入亚伯拉罕协议？"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 7 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"索马里兰"，概率为 37%，其次是"阿塞拜疆"，概率为 22%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 37¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 37%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"哪个国家将在2027年之前加入亚伯拉罕协议？"已产生 $567.1K 的总交易量（自Nov 5, 2025市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"哪个国家将在2027年之前加入亚伯拉罕协议？"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 7 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"哪个国家将在2027年之前加入亚伯拉罕协议？"的当前领先者是"索马里兰"，概率为 37%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 37%。紧随其后的结果是"阿塞拜疆"，概率为 22%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"哪个国家将在2027年之前加入亚伯拉罕协议？"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。