Recent polling shows President Trump's job approval holding near second-term lows around 36-39% amid persistent dissatisfaction with inflation and the Iran conflict. Weekly shifts remain tightly balanced because approval ratings change slowly absent major catalysts, with recent legislative moves like immigration funding and the Secure America Act offset by ongoing economic concerns and congressional pushback on war powers. Developments that could tip the odds include fresh national polls, new economic data releases, escalation or de-escalation signals in foreign policy, or high-profile executive actions within the resolution window. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, pricing near-even odds on any measurable weekly movement.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Up
Up
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 12, 2026, than on June 19, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
市场开放时间: Jun 12, 2026, 7:23 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 12, 2026, than on June 19, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent polling shows President Trump's job approval holding near second-term lows around 36-39% amid persistent dissatisfaction with inflation and the Iran conflict. Weekly shifts remain tightly balanced because approval ratings change slowly absent major catalysts, with recent legislative moves like immigration funding and the Secure America Act offset by ongoing economic concerns and congressional pushback on war powers. Developments that could tip the odds include fresh national polls, new economic data releases, escalation or de-escalation signals in foreign policy, or high-profile executive actions within the resolution window. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, pricing near-even odds on any measurable weekly movement.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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