Trump’s approval rating has remained near second-term lows around 36-40% in early June 2026 polling averages, driven by sustained voter dissatisfaction with his handling of the Iran conflict and the economy, including expectations of higher gas prices and inflation pressures. Recent surveys from Reuters/Ipsos, Economist/YouGov, and others show disapproval in the 55-63% range, with limited movement in the days leading into the week of June 13. Trader consensus on a weekly decline reflects this entrenched downward trajectory and absence of offsetting positive catalysts in the immediate period. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome include verifiable progress toward de-escalation in the Middle East, unexpected favorable economic data releases, or major new controversies that accelerate erosion.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Up
$1,502 交易量
$1,502 交易量
2026-06-12
Up
$1,502 交易量
$1,502 交易量
2026-06-12
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 12, 2026, than on June 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 5, 2026, than on June 12, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trump’s approval rating has remained near second-term lows around 36-40% in early June 2026 polling averages, driven by sustained voter dissatisfaction with his handling of the Iran conflict and the economy, including expectations of higher gas prices and inflation pressures. Recent surveys from Reuters/Ipsos, Economist/YouGov, and others show disapproval in the 55-63% range, with limited movement in the days leading into the week of June 13. Trader consensus on a weekly decline reflects this entrenched downward trajectory and absence of offsetting positive catalysts in the immediate period. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome include verifiable progress toward de-escalation in the Middle East, unexpected favorable economic data releases, or major new controversies that accelerate erosion.
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 12, 2026, than on June 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 5, 2026, than on June 12, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 5, 2026, than on June 12, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
市场开放时间： Jun 5, 2026, 3:38 PM ET
交易量
$1,502结束日期
2026-06-12市场开放时间
Jun 5, 2026, 3:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提议结果: Down
无争议
最终结果: Down
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 12, 2026, than on June 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 5, 2026, than on June 12, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trump’s approval rating has remained near second-term lows around 36-40% in early June 2026 polling averages, driven by sustained voter dissatisfaction with his handling of the Iran conflict and the economy, including expectations of higher gas prices and inflation pressures. Recent surveys from Reuters/Ipsos, Economist/YouGov, and others show disapproval in the 55-63% range, with limited movement in the days leading into the week of June 13. Trader consensus on a weekly decline reflects this entrenched downward trajectory and absence of offsetting positive catalysts in the immediate period. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome include verifiable progress toward de-escalation in the Middle East, unexpected favorable economic data releases, or major new controversies that accelerate erosion.
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 12, 2026, than on June 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 5, 2026, than on June 12, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 5, 2026, than on June 12, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
交易量
$1,502结束日期
2026-06-12市场开放时间
Jun 5, 2026, 3:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提议结果: Down
无争议
最终结果: Down
Trump’s approval rating has remained near second-term lows around 36-40% in early June 2026 polling averages, driven by sustained voter dissatisfaction with his handling of the Iran conflict and the economy, including expectations of higher gas prices and inflation pressures. Recent surveys from Reuters/Ipsos, Economist/YouGov, and others show disapproval in the 55-63% range, with limited movement in the days leading into the week of June 13. Trader consensus on a weekly decline reflects this entrenched downward trajectory and absence of offsetting positive catalysts in the immediate period. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome include verifiable progress toward de-escalation in the Middle East, unexpected favorable economic data releases, or major new controversies that accelerate erosion.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题