Elon Musk’s consistent high-volume posting on X, driven by real-time reactions to SpaceX milestones and political commentary, anchors trader expectations for the June 9–16 window near the 160–199 tweet range. Recent activity includes multiple replies on satellite records, UK politics, and cultural debates, maintaining his typical pace of 20–30 posts daily amid ongoing company news flow. With the period more than halfway complete and no major disruptions or rate-limit changes reported, the tight 36.9% and 30.5% probabilities on the leading bins reflect market consensus around steady engagement rather than spikes. Upcoming catalysts like potential Starship updates or broader news cycles could nudge totals higher, though historical patterns show limited variance week to week absent extraordinary events.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于160-179 36.9%
180-199 31%
200-219 14%
140-159 12.9%
$3,874,302 交易量
$3,874,302 交易量
2026-06-16
120-139
2%
140-159
13%
160-179
37%
180-199
31%
200-219
14%
220-239
3%
240-259
1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
160-179 36.9%
180-199 31%
200-219 14%
140-159 12.9%
$3,874,302 交易量
$3,874,302 交易量
2026-06-16
120-139
$361,748 交易量
2%
140-159
$257,363 交易量
13%
160-179
$150,478 交易量
37%
180-199
$137,408 交易量
31%
200-219
$151,434 交易量
14%
220-239
$157,096 交易量
3%
240-259
$140,265 交易量
1%
260-279
$140,014 交易量
<1%
280-299
$136,234 交易量
<1%
300-319
$165,290 交易量
<1%
320-339
$163,953 交易量
<1%
340-359
$125,368 交易量
<1%
360-379
$127,949 交易量
<1%
380-399
$142,289 交易量
<1%
400-419
$98,065 交易量
<1%
420-439
$74,830 交易量
<1%
440-459
$58,625 交易量
<1%
460-479
$136,818 交易量
<1%
480-499
$87,058 交易量
<1%
500+
$160,416 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 9 12:00 PM ET to June 16, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s consistent high-volume posting on X, driven by real-time reactions to SpaceX milestones and political commentary, anchors trader expectations for the June 9–16 window near the 160–199 tweet range. Recent activity includes multiple replies on satellite records, UK politics, and cultural debates, maintaining his typical pace of 20–30 posts daily amid ongoing company news flow. With the period more than halfway complete and no major disruptions or rate-limit changes reported, the tight 36.9% and 30.5% probabilities on the leading bins reflect market consensus around steady engagement rather than spikes. Upcoming catalysts like potential Starship updates or broader news cycles could nudge totals higher, though historical patterns show limited variance week to week absent extraordinary events.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 9 12:00 PM ET to June 16, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市场开放时间： Jun 6, 2026, 12:26 AM ET
交易量
$3,874,302结束日期
2026-06-16市场开放时间
Jun 6, 2026, 12:26 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 9 12:00 PM ET to June 16, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s consistent high-volume posting on X, driven by real-time reactions to SpaceX milestones and political commentary, anchors trader expectations for the June 9–16 window near the 160–199 tweet range. Recent activity includes multiple replies on satellite records, UK politics, and cultural debates, maintaining his typical pace of 20–30 posts daily amid ongoing company news flow. With the period more than halfway complete and no major disruptions or rate-limit changes reported, the tight 36.9% and 30.5% probabilities on the leading bins reflect market consensus around steady engagement rather than spikes. Upcoming catalysts like potential Starship updates or broader news cycles could nudge totals higher, though historical patterns show limited variance week to week absent extraordinary events.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 9 12:00 PM ET to June 16, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$3,874,302结束日期
2026-06-16市场开放时间
Jun 6, 2026, 12:26 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s consistent high-volume posting on X, driven by real-time reactions to SpaceX milestones and political commentary, anchors trader expectations for the June 9–16 window near the 160–199 tweet range. Recent activity includes multiple replies on satellite records, UK politics, and cultural debates, maintaining his typical pace of 20–30 posts daily amid ongoing company news flow. With the period more than halfway complete and no major disruptions or rate-limit changes reported, the tight 36.9% and 30.5% probabilities on the leading bins reflect market consensus around steady engagement rather than spikes. Upcoming catalysts like potential Starship updates or broader news cycles could nudge totals higher, though historical patterns show limited variance week to week absent extraordinary events.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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