Neymar's 89.5% implied probability of appearing in the 2026 World Cup reflects his confirmed inclusion in Brazil's 26-man squad under coach Carlo Ancelotti despite ongoing fitness questions. The 34-year-old forward, Brazil's all-time leading scorer, has worked through a lengthy recovery from a 2023 ACL tear and was recently sidelined by a grade 2 right calf strain sustained in mid-May that ruled him out of warm-up matches and the opening group game against Morocco. Medical updates from the Brazilian Football Confederation indicate steady progress within expected timelines, positioning him for a potential return during the group stage or knockout rounds. Ancelotti has emphasized retaining Neymar for his experience and influence on younger teammates rather than making late roster changes, while the calf issue carries a shorter recovery horizon than prior knee problems. These elements underpin trader consensus on his eventual participation even amid short-term availability concerns.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$2,981,092 交易量
$2,981,092 交易量
是
$2,981,092 交易量
$2,981,092 交易量
Any on-field appearance as a player will qualify, in regulation, stoppage time, extra time, for a shootout, etc.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间: Mar 17, 2026, 1:54 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Any on-field appearance as a player will qualify, in regulation, stoppage time, extra time, for a shootout, etc.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Neymar's 89.5% implied probability of appearing in the 2026 World Cup reflects his confirmed inclusion in Brazil's 26-man squad under coach Carlo Ancelotti despite ongoing fitness questions. The 34-year-old forward, Brazil's all-time leading scorer, has worked through a lengthy recovery from a 2023 ACL tear and was recently sidelined by a grade 2 right calf strain sustained in mid-May that ruled him out of warm-up matches and the opening group game against Morocco. Medical updates from the Brazilian Football Confederation indicate steady progress within expected timelines, positioning him for a potential return during the group stage or knockout rounds. Ancelotti has emphasized retaining Neymar for his experience and influence on younger teammates rather than making late roster changes, while the calf issue carries a shorter recovery horizon than prior knee problems. These elements underpin trader consensus on his eventual participation even amid short-term availability concerns.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题