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icon for Elon Musk在2026年7月# tweets ?

Elon Musk在2026年7月# tweets ?

icon for Elon Musk在2026年7月# tweets ?

Elon Musk在2026年7月# tweets ?

840-879 61.8%

800-839 19.4%

880-919 13.4%

920-959 2.6%

Polymarket

$1,143,037 交易量

840-879 61.8%

800-839 19.4%

880-919 13.4%

920-959 2.6%

Polymarket

$1,143,037 交易量

<20

$52,905 交易量

<1%

20-39

$6,233 交易量

<1%

40-59

$389 交易量

<1%

60-79

$5,609 交易量

<1%

80-99

$2,784 交易量

<1%

100-119

$3,332 交易量

<1%

120-139

$2,756 交易量

<1%

140-159

$3,780 交易量

<1%

160-179

$2,476 交易量

<1%

180-199

$3,946 交易量

<1%

200-219

$4,755 交易量

<1%

220-239

$5,164 交易量

<1%

240-259

$5,816 交易量

<1%

260-279

$18,590 交易量

<1%

280-299

$20,521 交易量

<1%

300-319

$20,426 交易量

<1%

320-339

$11,335 交易量

<1%

340-359

$11,331 交易量

<1%

360-379

$17,234 交易量

<1%

380-399

$18,145 交易量

<1%

400-419

$11,375 交易量

<1%

420-439

$11,368 交易量

<1%

440-459

$17,867 交易量

<1%

460-479

$22,171 交易量

<1%

480-499

$27,999 交易量

<1%

500-519

$20,502 交易量

<1%

520-539

$12,965 交易量

<1%

540-559

$18,254 交易量

<1%

560-579

$17,358 交易量

<1%

580-599

$30,720 交易量

<1%

600-639

$29,215 交易量

<1%

640-679

$37,200 交易量

<1%

680-719

$34,457 交易量

<1%

720-759

$54,389 交易量

<1%

760-799

$71,934 交易量

<1%

800-839

$31,689 交易量

19%

840-879

$46,755 交易量

62%

880-919

$59,092 交易量

13%

920-959

$58,903 交易量

3%

960-999

$57,938 交易量

1%

1000-1039

$35,949 交易量

<1%

1040-1079

$30,645 交易量

<1%

1080-1119

$24,334 交易量

<1%

1120-1159

$19,542 交易量

<1%

1160-1199

$20,479 交易量

<1%

1200-1239

$17,532 交易量

<1%

1240-1279

$14,552 交易量

<1%

1280-1319

$18,143 交易量

<1%

1320-1359

$19,108 交易量

<1%

1360-1399

$19,648 交易量

<1%

1400+

$33,425 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of July 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s posting frequency on X reflects fluctuating daily output shaped by business priorities at Tesla, SpaceX, and xAI, alongside platform engagement patterns. Recent months show variable volume, with traders assigning the highest implied probabilities to the 840-879 and 880-919 ranges amid a broad distribution that peaks modestly above 800 while extending into higher and lower brackets. July’s calendar, including the U.S. holiday period, often correlates with moderated activity compared to peak months, yet sustained high-engagement streaks or product announcements can push totals toward 1,000+. Key differentiators among leading ranges center on whether baseline daily averages near 25-30 persist or whether concentrated reply threads and news-driven surges consolidate support for mid-800s or low-900s outcomes.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of July 2026.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$1,143,037
结束日期
2026-08-01
市场开放时间
May 24, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of July 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of July 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s posting frequency on X reflects fluctuating daily output shaped by business priorities at Tesla, SpaceX, and xAI, alongside platform engagement patterns. Recent months show variable volume, with traders assigning the highest implied probabilities to the 840-879 and 880-919 ranges amid a broad distribution that peaks modestly above 800 while extending into higher and lower brackets. July’s calendar, including the U.S. holiday period, often correlates with moderated activity compared to peak months, yet sustained high-engagement streaks or product announcements can push totals toward 1,000+. Key differentiators among leading ranges center on whether baseline daily averages near 25-30 persist or whether concentrated reply threads and news-driven surges consolidate support for mid-800s or low-900s outcomes.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of July 2026.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$1,143,037
结束日期
2026-08-01
市场开放时间
May 24, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of July 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Elon Musk在2026年7月# tweets ?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 51+ 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"840-879",概率为 62%,其次是"800-839",概率为 19%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 62¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 62%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"Elon Musk在2026年7月# tweets ?"已产生 $1.1 million 的总交易量(自May 24, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Elon Musk在2026年7月# tweets ?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 51+ 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Elon Musk在2026年7月# tweets ?"的当前领先者是"840-879",概率为 62%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 62%。紧随其后的结果是"800-839",概率为 19%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Elon Musk在2026年7月# tweets ?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。